In The Illusion of Knowledge (September 2022), I railed against macro forecasting, which in our profession mostly concerns the next year or two. And in I Beg to Differ (July 2022), I discussed the questions I was asked most frequently at Oaktree’s June 21 conference in London: How bad will inflation get? How much will the Fed raise interest rates to fight it? Will…
Weekly State of The Market: You Don’t Need to Know, But Pay Attention
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Reopening Meets Resistance
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
After a 1-point move in the S&P 500 (SPX) Monday, things got a bit more interesting through the remainder...
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Q1 Earning Season Peaks This Week, Will S&P 500 Follow?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
For the S&P 500 (SPX) it proved to be the week that investors went to sleep, as the benchmark...
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J.P. Morgan Lay of the Land For Markets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The J.P. Morgan View Booming markets, disturbing protests and a collapsing dollar Cross-asset strategy: Risky markets are booming and...
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Recession Fears Overhyped: SPX 3,000 Eyed
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good morning fellow investors. This week’s Research Report will hit with greater brevity than you’ve seen with many of...
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Morgan Stanley 2023 Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Ahead of the holiday and turn of year period, Morgan Stanley publishes their outlook for 2023. The outlook is...
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Weekly State of the Market: In The Face of A Bearish Backdrop, Bulls Reimmerge
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
If we know that bad times are temporary and progress is undefeated, why is it so hard to stay...
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Weekly Warm-up: Turn the Page but Not the Narrative
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A new year brings new investment opportunities even if the narrative isn’t changing. We still recommend a large cap...