In The Illusion of Knowledge (September 2022), I railed against macro forecasting, which in our profession mostly concerns the next year or two. And in I Beg to Differ (July 2022), I discussed the questions I was asked most frequently at Oaktree’s June 21 conference in London: How bad will inflation get? How much will the Fed raise interest rates to fight it? Will…
Weekly State of The Market: You Don’t Need to Know, But Pay Attention
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Geopolitical Risks Abate At Year-End: Sideways, Higher or Lower From Here?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The trading week that was ended in a manner that many may have not anticipated. As we read this...
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Brian Cornell’s Aim Has Been Way Off Target
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Last week, Target Corp. (TGT) offered a rather gruesome outlook for 2017 that came on the heels of a very weak...
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Weekly Warm-up: It’s All About Price
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Price momentum is a key driver of sentiment, especially in a late cycle environment when uncertainty about the outcome...
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J.P. Morgan Guide To Markets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
1. The economy is holding up better than expected, but recession risk remains. In the third quarter, easing inflation...
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J.P. Morgan Team Offers Completed 2021 Analysis
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Equities are facing one of the best backdrops for sustained gains next year. After a prolonged period of elevated...
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Bed Bath & Beyond Gross Margin Contraction Seems Never Ending
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY ) is not in dire straits, the company’s consistent underperformance over the last couple of years...
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J.P. Morgan View: CPI release is a positive, but recession risks remain high!
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: The October US CPI release delivered the largest downward inflation surprise since the start of the pandemic,...