We know that historical analogs and averages can be overdone in market analysis, and our statistical approach (and maybe our longevity) makes us even more susceptible to looking for patterns that might not exist. Last fall, though, we noted that the current inflationary cycle is tracking the “average” historical path to an almost eerie degree, and that is still the…
The Leuthold Group: Inflation: Following The Script?
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: Feedback to our Mid Year Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While there is some sympathy for our mid-cycle transition, most think it’s too early, or not worth acting on....
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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Harder to Hide as the Bear Gets Grisly
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With defensive stocks now expensive and offering little absolute upside, the S&P500 appears ready to join the ongoing bear...
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The Leuthold Group: August Green Book
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The month of October gets all the “love,” but since 1990, August has been the cruelest month for stocks....
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Weekly Warm-up: PMIs and Earnings Will Ultimately Determine the End of the Correction
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With all the attention on rate moves so far this year, investors may soon shift that focus to growth....
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Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: Fed and Price Continue to Dominate the Narrative
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While there are plenty of events and fundamental data points worth considering, we find many remain fixated on the...
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Tech Sector Sell-Off Provides Much Needed Volatility
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The summer doldrums are here, or are they. Last Friday’s market action or reaction to some minor headlines shook...
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Are Investors Living On the Edge Right Now?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Let’s get this party started folks! If last week the market proved one thing it is this: Buying begets...
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How Will March Retail Sales Affect The Retail Sector Stocks?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This week is going to be a very critical week for the retail sector. With many retail stocks expressing...