The month of October gets all the “love,” but since 1990, August has been the cruelest month for stocks. We point this out because calendar patterns lately seem to explain this market better than just about anything else. In 2022, big losses in stocks and bonds arrived right on schedule—during a time of Jewish sabbatical (the Shmita Year). In 2023,…
The Leuthold Group: August Green Book
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Still Growing, In Spite of Geopolitical Headwinds
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Well, that was much to do about nothing given the anticipation that came ahead of the trading week. When...
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Analysts Dissect All The Moving Parts
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Goldman Sachs chief political economist Alec Phillips Goldman Sachs now offers that it’s “base case” for the next fiscal...
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Fundstrat: Choppy 8 Weeks Ahead, But…
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This coming week is important, given the Presidential debate on Tuesday evening (9pm ET). And as we look ahead,...
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J.P. Morgan: Stocks and Bonds Rise Together
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Many believe that bond yields will not be able to move up much, partly as there is no sustained...
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The Leuthold Group: Upgrade Markets, Downgrade Inflation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The Major Trend Index moved up one notch to a net reading of zero (Neutral) in the week ended...
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Richly Valued Markets Deserve Risk Management
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
There is nothing wrong with unbridled enthusiasm when it’s correlated to the appropriate level of rationale. That’s the premise...
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Breadth-less Market & The Fed
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Throughout this bull market, stock investors have bemoaned an incessant lack of breadth. Leadership has been remarkably narrow. The...
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