Outline
- Market Headwinds: (23 minutes)
- Apple (AAPL) share price
- Crude oil price/demand/supply
- Trade Truce i.e. U.S./China: Corporate uncertainty and investor uncertainty
- (14 minutes in) FOMC rate hike path, turned dovish, data dependency brought back
- (16 minutes in) New Home sales, housing commentary
- (21 minutes in) FedWatch Tool: rate hike probability
2. Government shutdown? (24 minutes in)
- Trump/Pelossi/Schumer
- Border wall, border security debate
- Shutdown proposed without CFR
- Manmade crisis that is avoidable/new consumer demographics inhibiting housing market
- (30 minutes in) Strong economy, strong consumer, retail sales, labor market strong
- (31 minutes in) What if we get trade resolution, pressured trade resolution
3. Market Crash (33 minutes in)
- Market decline: S&P 500 “box”, breaking the box, triple top & triple bottom break down
- (35 minutes in) What are the conditions for bear market, the probabilities
- (36 minutes in) Volatility in the market vs. Implied Volatility
- (38 minutes in) Historic volatility
- (40 minutes in) Not enough market trading volume, hedging volume absent/SKEW Index
4. Risk Management (43 minutes in)
- Hedging with cash. Hedging is insurance for your portfolio
- (48 minutes in) 3 weeks left in calendar year, outlook for EOY
What a great video! Very useful to have a timeline index with well defined topics to scroll the video back and forth. Watched 3 times in a row!
Yea, I tried to give an outline so people could skip portions and refer back to the portions of the video they wanted to listen to again.