Stepping back from the January noise, the trends in core economic activity data are discouraging. It’s unrealistic to think that the full hit from the Fed’s actions have already worked through the economy. Existing home sales have hit bottom and likely will rise a bit in Q1, but prices have a long way to fall. Don’t Fall for Claims that…
The Major Trend Index held at a neutral reading of zero in the week ended December 22nd. Bullish market...
The stock market rally off the washed-out lows of early last fall has run further and for longer than...
In the week that was, we had a rare 2018 example of market inefficiency. For much of the year...
Let’s begin with a mea culpa. In my note of 18 May 2023, I wrote that the risk/reward for equities...
“Anyone can get lucky for a short period of time. But consistent outperformance over long periods is probably evidence...
It looked as though markets were on the precipice of breaking down earlier in the trading week, and as...
Within last weekend’s Research Report, the following was offered: “We are in unprecedented market waters and as such our...
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