They have been proclaiming a slowing labor and employment market for weeks, if not months. Has the Unemployment Rate (UR) risen? Yes! What they don’t emphasize, however, is the abnormally sustained low levels of UR for the last 2+ years. In other words, and akin to many economic metrics, the labor and employment data has been normalizing back to trend….
Over The Summer Months: Interim vs. Long-Term
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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S&P Financials Hold As Tech Resolves Quarterly Reports
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
That was something for all the market pundits and critics to behold last week was it not? The mantra...
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Mann Institute: 100 years of US stock returns. Eight doublings. Three halvings. What lessons can we learn?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
My wife’s great grandmother died this year aged 100. Ida Beckett, this is your life (in US stock returns):...
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IDENTIFYING BEAR MARKET BOTTOMS AND NEW BULL MARKETS
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Paul F. Desmond Lowry’s Reports Inc. 26 February 2002 Ask one hundred investors whether this is a bull...
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Fundamentals Question The Technicals
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We only know what we know! In the future, we’ll know more through experiences or dedicated educational exercises, or...
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NDR 2020 Election Handbook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In some regards, an incumbent seeking reelection fits well into NDR’s historical analysis wheelhouse. The last presidentto not run...
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Weekly State of the Market: Holding Historic Precedence
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In my conversations over the years with retail investors — many of whom are novices (not that there’s anything...
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J.P. Morgan’s Quant Team 2024 U.S. Equity Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Since the start of the rate hike cycle in 2022, regional business cycles have weakened, earnings growth has stagnated...