With our view for lower multiples and earnings now more consensus, the markets are more fairly priced. However, it does not price the risk of a recession, in our view, which is 15- 20% lower, or roughly 3000. The Bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished. What do forward EPS contractions…
Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: A Recession Is Not Fully Priced
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The Beginning of the End of Easy Money is Starting to Look Overpriced
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-asset strategy: Higher rates was one of late 2020’s most-consensus views, but higher rate volatility was not. Hence,...
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Fundstrat 2022 Outlook: Stocks + Treachery = Challenging but +11%
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
7 GENERAL PRINCIPLES: What is evidence-based research 1. Nothing new under the sun: Importance of looking at cycles 2....
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Retail Sales & Dissecting Trade War
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Ahead of the opening bell on Friday, June 14, 2019, retail sales and industrial production data will be released....
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Target Lowers FY2016 Guidance After Dismal Holiday Period
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Like many a retailer before Target (TGT), the big-box department store chain announced a dismal sales performance for the...
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Some Techs to Start the Trading Week
Edward Cordoba, , Research Reports, 0
As we come into the final trading days of February, we’ve had some pretty technically responsive price action as...
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The Leuthold Group: Jay Powell, The Chartist
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
By: Doug Ramsey Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager Doug is the Chief Investment Officer of The Leuthold Group, LLC,...
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J.P. Morgan: Stay Long Risk, But Add Hedges
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Strategy Equity and credit markets continue to grind higher, undisturbed by the recent rise in bond yields or...
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Fundstrat: S&P 500 into 2H
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
S&P 500 and QQQ both showed minor weakness late this week, yet failed to do much technical damage. Both...
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