Alpha over Beta. The wild price swings of the past month are a function of two things in our view: 1)excess leverage in the financial system and 2) the market contemplating the transition of the economy from early to mid cycle as the reopening draws near. The good news is that VAR shocks that happen when growth is accelerating (i.e….
Morgan Stanley: Riding The Cyclical Market Wave
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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The S&P 500 Plotted Course Has Been Prepared
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The S&P 500 (SPX) came within 9 points of reaching it’s all-time record high earlier in the trading week...
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Leuthold Group: An INEXPLICABLE Stock Market
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Since at least Jackson Hole, the narrative has been that inflation is a big problem, and the Federal Reserve...
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Seasonal Sale For Risk Assets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The consolidation phase is upon us. It is more recognizably taking place, and as usual, causing investors to doubt...
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Setting Up The Compounding Effect
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Midterm election years are difficult trading years, but reliably strong investing years, as they setup the compounding effect. More...
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Disinflationary Forces Under Review
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Dr. Ed Yardeni Go figure: Stocks & bonds sold off on Tuesday following a hotter-than-expected Q1 Employment Cost Index...
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UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
With only a week of trading under our belts in 2017, maintaining a core short position in ProShares Ultra...
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Why rising rates and a flatter curve signal a potential downturn
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Why rising rates and a flatter curve signal a potential downturn: The U.S. economy has seen a prolonged period of growth without a recession. As the business cycle has...
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Morgan Stanley: Great Expectations on Earnings and Inflation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Our discussions with clients are narrowing to two primary topics: Earnings and Inflation. On the former, we hear many...
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