The derating of stocks is not over but may take a pause as stimulus boosts liquidity. Our cycle analysis strongly suggest PEs will fall this year as rates rise and earnings revisions flatten out. This is a high conviction, non-consensus view we think is already playing out at the stock level. While unfinished in our view, it may take a…
Morgan Stanley: Downgrade Small Caps
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Analyzing Past Market Conditions, To Plan For Future Market Probabilities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good Sunday Finom Group members. As previously mentioned and due to a death in the family, we are not...
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J.P. Morgan: Bond rally is technical, not fundamental; stay UW bonds
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: Clients have asked about our conviction in the pro-cyclical trade given the recent decline in bond yields....
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2022 Outlook: The Year of the Stock Picker by Morgan Stanley
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With financial conditions tightening and earnings growth slowing, the 12-month risk/reward for the broad indices looks unattractive at current...
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Weekly State of the Market: In The Face of A Bearish Backdrop, Bulls Reimmerge
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
If we know that bad times are temporary and progress is undefeated, why is it so hard to stay...
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Weekly State of the Market: Early Sledding In 2022
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“If you can’t pull the trigger on stocks here it may be because you’re focused on the next 3%...
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Fitbit’s Pebble Acquisition Akin To Hewlett Packard’s Palm Acquisition
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Do you remember when Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) acquired Palm for $1bn in 2010, likely just prior to Palm going bankrupt after several...
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Does the Trade Truce Produce a Change in Analysts’ Earnings Estimates?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
After a really poor performance in October, the S&P 500 (SPX) rebounded in November. It may not have seemed...
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Warnings Abound for Selling Volatility
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
Are you a short-VOL/VIX trader? If so you probably know what it feels like to have your trading style/strategy...
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