Nothing moves sentiment more than price! You’ve probably heard that phrasing before? The phrasing basically suggests that despite all the variables at play for any given time period, whatever price is doing that tends to be the most influential variable moving investor risk appetite and strategists’ outlook for price action. We saw how this principle of analyzing market sentiment played…
Macro Strategy—Inflation Dimming Economic Outlook: On multiple levels, including strong labor demand, decades-low household leverage, lack of excesses on...
Markets are firmly in the thrawls of another September swoon, which is all-too familiar and painful for many investors....
Corporate outlook continues to improve on stronger than expected economic and earnings recovery, constructive guidance, as well as positive...
Trading this market can be quite frustrating, with historically high likelihood setups repeatedly failing. I keep myself sane by...
Macro Strategy—Businesses have responded to unprecedented U.S. consumer-demand strength and rising capacity utilization rates by bringing real equipment investment...
In The Illusion of Knowledge (September 2022), I railed against macro forecasting, which in our profession mostly concerns the next year...
Cross-Asset Strategy: Clients have asked about our conviction in the pro-cyclical trade given the recent decline in bond yields....
With defensive stocks now expensive and offering little absolute upside, the S&P500 appears ready to join the ongoing bear...
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