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Seth Golden replied to the topic TVIX May 2020 Uptrend or Downtrend in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 4 years, 6 months ago
Market consolidation is likely near-term. It should coincide with an uptick in VIX/VIX-futures. The appropriate approach is to participate for long-term with TVIX. Since it is constructed and correlated to decay over time, position accordingly.
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. it fell significantly more than normal peak-trough declines for the 11 past recessions
2. it fell more than 3 out of the 5 last recessions
3. This is the fastest… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
“There’s another way to think about it, and that would be the market knows the news is going to be bad economic data and the market knows it’s going to get worse,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities. “The market knows even good companies are going to report earnings and pull their guidance. The market is looking t…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Trailing 12-month S&P 500 performance loosely tracks the J.P. Morgan Recession Risk Tracker since the early 1990s. The residual equity performance sits in the upper end… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Total US GDP: $18,638 Billion
More than half ($9,439 billion) of that comes from just 8 states:CA: $2,722 billion (15% of US GDP)
TX: $1,713 bil (9%)
NY: $1,436 bil (8%)
FL: $925 bil (5%)
IL: $770 bil (4%)
PA: $712 bil (4%)
OH: $605 bil (3%)
NJ: $556 bil (3%) -
Seth Golden and PSalda are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden and Josh Patterson are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Earnings Scorecard for Q1 2020 to-date -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Most of Asia still well below normal: Chart: Tomtom’s congestion index (current as % of 2019 congestion at same time, 17-24 Apr)
HSBC CFO echos this this morning saying China in “early stage” of recovery -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Financial Times Questions for Jerome Powell: Is Powell still optimistic about the second half? – since the last meeting oil has crashed…
Any new guidance on rates? – negative rates are not relevant at the moment for the US…
Will there be more tapering? from $75 bn per day to “only $10 bn per day…things have improved (and TYVIX has…[Read more]
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Seth Golden and Darren Goins are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden and EGTrade are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Equal weight nearly double the cap weighted SPX today. Very nice move! -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
UBS: $BYND stock “does not reflect risk from reduced restaurant traffic, consumer trade-down (BYND patty is 2x price of regular patty) or increased CPG competition. While pandemic/pork shortages are driving more at-home
consumption for BYND products,” we cut to Sell. Target $73 -
Seth Golden and abbasfghoghari are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Mizuho: “Late on Friday S&P affirmed Italy’s rating at BBB Negative. Action was perhaps unlikely given that S&P had previously indicated that they will not rush into drastic rating action, and will focus on the country’s long-term growth potential. ECB buying is expected to cover most new Italian debt issuance due to the pandemic, but S&P not…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
The March reading of Goldman´s China Current Activity Indicator (CAI) suggests an indication of recovery. The figure recovered to 7.6% mom annualized from the historic low of -14.2% mom in February -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Small Business survey still above Great Financial Crisis levels believe it or not. -
Seth Golden and asaflier are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
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