Friends – Activity – tnogradi

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

Here’s what we have in the works to combat and overcome the pandemic

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

The 2009 bear-to-new bull market analogue remains highly engaged. Consolidation from June 11-July 17 remains in tact w/new bull market highs achieved on July 16 and continuation of the rally with new higher highs thereafter.

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

JPM notes that VIX has spent almost 100 days days in high vol regime since the Corona crisis according to their VIX HMM model. The 2008 crisis had the VIX spend 329 days…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

No guarantees and we urge a flexible, unbiased approach to markets, but…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

Bottom line, Lee says, is that a combination of stocks near their highs and cautious positioning means investors should stay overweight equities. And while earnings are…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

Given the California-related relockdown headlines yesterday, it may have gone under the radar Arizona #Covid cases are now falling! New cases 1,357 yesterday, compared…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

JPM estimates that passive and quant products represent over 60% of equity AUM in the US! Roughly $3 trillion rotating from active and value to passive and momentum strategies since the 2008 GFC.

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

S&P 500 EPS to $115 (-30%) in 2020, they maintain 2021 EPS estimate of $170 (+48%), and introduce a 2022 EPS estimate of $188 (+11%). Should things turn down they see:…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 3 months ago

So here is the thing about 2001, per the Research Report: Back in 2001 the market never really hit a bottom signal given that the ATR and Williams % R neer hit above and…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

“While we acknowledge that equity short covering has advanced further in recent weeks, we still find room for further covering at the equity index level in the US and at…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

J.P. Morgan S&P 500 EPS:

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

$SPX gains 4% or more over 5 trading days and doesn’t close at an ATH. Lots of red early on, lots of white later on, historically.

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

Remember quarterly S&P 500 EPS in 2009, more than doubly worse than in 2020 thus far

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

Today’s breadth

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

If the 2009 analogue holds true, we should continue to see a rangebound S&P 500 over the coming 2 trading weeks with a new relief rally high in week 3 of July

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago

J.P. Morgan: Matejka, head of equity strategy, who has a very successful call in calling the bottom and being bullish throughout the spring – sounds more negative now.

1. Investor sentiment surveys are far from depressed, and positioning has recovered nicely, with retail investors strongly participating. Robust retail buying was historically not…[Read more]