@stockboy7254
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JSL2014 and
Cugur are now friends 6 months ago
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
From an investment standpoint – 10-30 years, is $T AT&T a pickup at this price? Great divvy, big player in a changing space, but with their fingers in a lot of pies.
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10-30 years hard to say no, but it will always be the lesser performer when compared to the S&P 500.
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RonTurkey replied to the topic UVXY is pretty much always HTB in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
@clevers are you sure it’s just 5% annually? The hard to borrow annual interest rate is a variable one. Currently, it’s at 7.5%. I’ve 5%, but i’ve seen it up to 13 or 14%. I suppose it changes based on supply&demand.
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RonTurkey replied to the topic Citron Sees FIT at $15 in the forum Fitbit (FIT) 7 years ago
What’s your opinion on crooked Andrew Left? Media gives him spotlight to basically fill his pockets with money. I don’t disagree with his prediction, but how can we allow Citron to have so much influence?
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
Does anyone else think that AT&T may be a decent addition at this point? Nice divvy, more power grab from what I can tell. Additionally, maybe a small Comcast holding could prove lucrative.
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
@seth-golden I notice you mostly trade s&p related vix products.. do you also trade any vol in nasdaq or Dow or gold or oil? Why or why not?
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No, I’ve only traded S&P related as it is the largest and based on functional market thesis without deliverable assets underlying. Oil, gold, both deliverable assets. I could never offer someone a box of volatility 😉 Makes a difference in the AUM value theory.
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
@seth-golden a couple things. Subscription, Reuters, Barron’s, Business Insider, all of the above, or none of the above? I’ve had Motley Fool and WSJ in the past, and I thought they provided little value. On a separate topic, have you looked into Chinese tech? Seems like China in general has the most to gain in user and user growth. I see more…[Read more]
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I have a subscription to Reuters and Barron’s. Only Chinese tech/commerce I trade is BABA. Of course some of the bookkeeping is fraudulent which is why I only trade them here and there.
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
Regardless of how terrible of a strategy it is to put all your eggs in one basket, I chose to do it anyway in one particular account. I “found” an old employer’s retirement account which had been sitting in cash for quite some time – don’t ask why. Anyway, i dumped the entire thing into $FB at $188/share. Wish me luck. I think this is where I…[Read more]
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Best of luck and profits to you Ron! Fundamentals are pretty sound and EPS expected to grow nicely into 2019. No lectures, you understand what you’re doing…
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
@seth-golden what tool or website do you use to track the earnings performance of companies in the S&P 500?
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Something tells me you don’t read the weekly research reports on earnings. I embed the Reuters link in each one http://lipperalpha.financial.thomsonreuters.com/2018/04/this-week-in-earnings-9/
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is there one that updates every day or does this one update once a week?
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S&P earnings are only updated weekly. I include in the weekly research report the breakdown as well as the corresponding table.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic Trade War in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
Gordon Chang made the comment that China is the weak hand in this situation.
It’s like when you owe the bank $10000 you are in trouble but when you owe them $100M they are in trouble.
The other thing, I think anything that jacks up the price of softs like soybeans does not bode well for Chinese social stability.
Weak position.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic April 5 Seth Golden Interview in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
I could just listen to Seth talk about vol all day.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic Price predictions for vxx/uvxy/tvix in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
>> it would have gone up over 500%
Shoulda coulda woulda
It’s quite certain, though, that VXX ATM call options would have done more than 500%.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic 50-30-20 Volatility Strategy in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
>they simply used my structure
Andrew at Option Pit says that they have to send takedown notices to Ebay every week because people steal their courses and sell on Ebay.
Heh.
The market in action.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic Facebook under fire in the forum Facebook (FB) 7 years ago
Wasn’t there some FB brouhaha last fall about the Russian bogeyman. Zuck was going to have to hire a ton of ad checkers and that was going to impact profits, etc.?
Then after a couple news cycles everybody forgot about that.
Just like they will forget about this kerfuffle and the next one too.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic Shiller P/E Over 30 in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
I tried to find the quote in the Michael Lewis book “The New New Thing”, but couldn’t.
Something along the lines of “If somebody tried to mention PE in the room it was like they farted.”
That’s almost the situation with NFLX and AMZN.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic Shiller P/E Over 30 in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
The market is supported by FANG stocks. Two of the four megacap names have astronomical PE ratios.
So how is PE even relevant?
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RonTurkey posted an update 7 years ago
@seth-golden generally speaking, safe to short UVXY again? or are you looking for a higher level of contango or other indicators, especially with the revised changes to its guts? VVIX continues to stay elevated, relatively speaking. Seems like the “ALL CLEAR” has not been announced yet.. haha.
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Safer is a better word for shorting VOL and it will always be found defining that margin of safety through liquidity. With a full core holding I am continuing to look for scalps on VXX, but using UVXY for LOBs
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Scott Mason replied to the topic ProShare Capital Management LLC Plans to Reduce Target Exposure On Two ETFs in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
It seems that all the products in the space are being affected by the Feb. Crash.
Except VXX.
As for options, VXX has the best liquidity.
Bill Valentine made two remarks in the most recent Vol Views about UVXY.
1) OTM UVXY puts are the safe way to play short vol.
2) In a crisis like we had in early Feb., OTM UVXY calls are the
most efficient…[Read more] -
Scott Mason replied to the topic ProShare Capital Management LLC Plans to Reduce Target Exposure On Two ETFs in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 7 years ago
Don’t make much difference. Before, UVXY was a tracking the SPY at 5x, now it will be a mere 3X.
I don’t think this will help its liquidity though.
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Scott Mason replied to the topic Credit Suisse Initiates Coverage in the forum Target (TGT) 7 years ago
Dayam is all I can say. And to think I was planning on maybe putting on a position on Tuesday!
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