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Seth Golden replied to the topic Can UVXY go to zero ?! in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
I don’t know how to make sense out of that comment concerning a VIX crash of 50% and terminating UVXY. Such a scenario is the correlated design of UVXY and would be business as usual
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Can UVXY go to zero ?! in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
If UVXY dips below $9-8 for more than two weeks an RS is usually announced
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Seth Golden replied to the topic SVXY & XIV after hours in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
@gvnr I’m not sure that’s what he meant as the IV value threshold for XIV is 80%, I think he may have meant the UVXY/VXX/TVIX of the world but I could be wrong as I have to review his video.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic SVXY & XIV after hours in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
It’s possible both XIV and SVXY can be terminated if they exceed the 80% single day IV value. Which both did exceed today. There is no word from the funds as of yet though.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic SVXY & XIV after hours in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
Sorry Alex other than many positions being forced closed it’s hard to say.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 8 months ago
David and I will be delivering our latest Half-Time show later this evening discussing the 2-Day market sell-off and volatility.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 8 months ago
Backwardation is now extended through the complex -
Seth Golden replied to the topic I'm Out in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
Sounds like a good plan @volguru. Best of luck and profits to you!
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 8 months ago
It should be an ugly market open tomorrow. Equity futures bright red and VIX Futures bright green. But, there should be an easy scalp there to be had as some of the pressure on equities is relieved half hour or so into the open.-
Initial trading appears to be pretty low volume, and has caught support (well as of the moment), not making any determination of how Monday will go just yet! Expecting a volatile week overall though, targeting lower volume by the end of week though.
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Will be fun, looking to complete my core build for sure and
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 8 months ago
I will be updating the Q417 Earnings estimates, which have risen again, along with the Q1 2018 earnings forecast for the S&P 500, also revised higher by Reuters, on Monday under our Research & Reports section. Be nimble come Monday, let’s see how the Futures look come 6:30pm EST.
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Seth Golden started the topic Q1 2018 Earnings in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 6 years, 8 months ago
18Q1 Earnings Growth Highlights
First quarter earnings are expected to increase 17.8% from Q1 2017. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate declines to 15.8%. Folks, this is amazing growth, let the markets pullback all they want, have cash handy, because the market should head higher thereafter.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic No more naked selling of UVXY calls for me… in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 8 months ago
Many factors have allowed me to trade the VOL complex with strong profits since 2012, but duration is definitely one of the keys to success. Time and liquidity are synonymous when it comes to volatility trading, the more you have the less risk you absorb and the greater the odds of your trade or investment beating the market average return by…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic Shopping List in the forum Target (TGT) 6 years, 9 months ago
After profiting nicely from shorting TGT, it has back back in nicely since the $78 level. I would put this on your shopping list as the market pulls back. If $72s present themselves next week, looks like a good entry.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Sometimes its a good idea at this point to sit back and let the market do what it’s going to do. Nicely in backwardation! Better to layer onto existing positions in the next…-
Down almost 5% on the Dow now. So we broke that long record that they been talking about. And this is a good thing it finally happed right. Soon normalcy comes back? After the parobolic month of a life time just got beat up?
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Yea, I would think we get some spill over into Monday, possibly stabilize Tuesday or Wednesday and then find the market trading sideways to higher. So possibly another 1-2% downside before all is said in done IMO!
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Thanks 🙏🏻
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
iPath VXX current holdings have now moved into more m2 than m1 as of Jan 31, 2017. Same goes for ProShares UVXY. Scroll over to view both. -
Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Check out David Moadel’s latest interview and dialogue with renowned investor Dale Pinkert via finomgroup.com’s video library!!
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
To all Premium Memberships, please check your finomgroup.com message boxes for additional communications.
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Were these sent today? I haven’t received any messages in the FinomGroup inbox. Just FYI. @seth-golden
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no you’re good, nothing to you just a general heads up for folks to check their messages on-site
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Make sure you check out our latest Half-Time Show https://www.finomgroup.com/half-time-video/ VIX is slightly lower w/VIX Futures following suit. It’s going to be a huge day after hours w/AAPL, GOOGL and AMZN all reporting when the market closes.
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Seth Golden started the topic Fed Keeps Rates Hike On Hold in the forum Daily Market Action: DOW, NASD, SPX 6 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Fed 2:00pm in the forum Volatility Playground: Causation of the day! 6 years, 9 months ago
@ronturkey simply a small long position against a larger short position. I’m typically looking at it only for a day trade. It’s a differentiation on the liquidity model whereby the existing cash is simply put to work on perceived benign uptick in VIX complex. It’s TIMING or in the current VIX regime trending until VIX relaxes once again.
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