@sianna
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. A number of the high-frequency indicators we track suggest that the global economy is in the process of bottoming out. Consumers’ future expectations have improved, mobility trends have moved up from their troughs and consumer spending is contracting more slowly than in the early weeks of the outbreak.
2. Hence, while global growth will t…[Read more]
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thanks Seth…the MOVE or bond vol index has fallen to more normal levels…has often preceded equity vol in both directions…perhaps could be function of Fed intervention etc in bond market but interesting nonetheless…
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. We believe this correction could be a meaningful (10%) but necessary pause that refreshes. Our bullish view has not changed, nor has the narrative – a severe r… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden and
cooper-marie are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago -
Seth Golden replied to the topic TVIX May 2020 Uptrend or Downtrend in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 4 years, 6 months ago
I don’t think IV or HV have come down enough to represent confidence in modeling even out 30 days. VIX futures volume dying off recently also suggests the risk/reward doesnt give either side an edge, long or short. Given how unique the situation is I think you still are best positioned for light trading with defined daily/weekly risk parameters in…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
April – May 1 Finom Group Trade Alerts completed for Premium and MasterMind Options members. -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
The Grandfather of the CBOE himself: VIX -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden replied to the topic TVIX May 2020 Uptrend or Downtrend in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 4 years, 6 months ago
Market consolidation is likely near-term. It should coincide with an uptick in VIX/VIX-futures. The appropriate approach is to participate for long-term with TVIX. Since it is constructed and correlated to decay over time, position accordingly.
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. it fell significantly more than normal peak-trough declines for the 11 past recessions
2. it fell more than 3 out of the 5 last recessions
3. This is the fastest… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
“There’s another way to think about it, and that would be the market knows the news is going to be bad economic data and the market knows it’s going to get worse,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities. “The market knows even good companies are going to report earnings and pull their guidance. The market is looking t…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Trailing 12-month S&P 500 performance loosely tracks the J.P. Morgan Recession Risk Tracker since the early 1990s. The residual equity performance sits in the upper end… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Total US GDP: $18,638 Billion
More than half ($9,439 billion) of that comes from just 8 states:CA: $2,722 billion (15% of US GDP)
TX: $1,713 bil (9%)
NY: $1,436 bil (8%)
FL: $925 bil (5%)
IL: $770 bil (4%)
PA: $712 bil (4%)
OH: $605 bil (3%)
NJ: $556 bil (3%) -
Seth Golden and
PSalda are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden and
Josh Patterson are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Earnings Scorecard for Q1 2020 to-date -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Most of Asia still well below normal: Chart: Tomtom’s congestion index (current as % of 2019 congestion at same time, 17-24 Apr)
HSBC CFO echos this this morning saying China in “early stage” of recovery -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Financial Times Questions for Jerome Powell: Is Powell still optimistic about the second half? – since the last meeting oil has crashed…
Any new guidance on rates? – negative rates are not relevant at the moment for the US…
Will there be more tapering? from $75 bn per day to “only $10 bn per day…things have improved (and TYVIX has…[Read more]
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Seth Golden and
Darren Goins are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago - Load More
PSalda
