Friends – Activity – Seth Golden

Robert Reincke posted an update 4 years, 8 months ago

Just thinking Even with Fed injections we have not even begun to see the long term economic fallout from this lockdown. Failed small businesses, personal bankruptcies, mortgage defaults, etc. I don’t see this as a big recovery at this point.
It’s looking more like corporate welfare every day. Not something middle or lower income America is happy about.

Seth Golden replied 4 years, 8 months ago
It won’t be an easy road back, but it never is and in the moment it will seem like forever. But 2-3 years from now it will appear as a blip on the economy and markets, it always ends up playing out that way, regardless of the causation and steepness of the fall.

Jessica Lowen posted an update 4 years, 8 months ago

Hello Everyone! I am a new member and happy to be here. This is my first post. I am using it to share a link to (what I found to be) a timely and heartening interview with former Treasury Sec Henry Paulson: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/04/02/825903888/get-money-out-to-the-economy-quickly-ex-treasury-secretary-says.…[Read more]

Seth Golden replied 4 years, 8 months ago
Thank you for the link Jessica, will check it out this afternoon!

Mark Minnis posted an update 5 years ago

Mind the gap! How long do you have to wait for an SPX gap to fill? The average is 33 bus days, but the distribution is very skewed. 50% of gaps filled in 7 bus days. 75%…

SPX Gap Fill

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Mark Minnis posted an update 5 years ago

UVXY and other VIX ETPs demonstrate downwards momentum when VIX futures fall in the previous week( especially 15<VixFut40) upwards moment is shown but volatility is very high and sample size extremely small. Making playing the upside significantly more difficult.