Favorites – Activity – Seth Golden

@seth-golden tomorrow , could u explain the mechanics of the active trading in UVYX ; I listened to both YOUtube vids on VIX and they were clear and very helpful. I am just not sure of the mechanics of how u short and cover and how u take drawdowns ie MAR 2020; and what do u call it ?Volmageddon? ; how much percent of port allocated and how u…[Read more]

Seth Golden posted an update 5 years ago

July Personal income is up $900B (at annual rate) vs. Feb. How? Here are the major components:
economy: down $1T
CARES + UI: up $1.8T
Fiscal support propping things up. As it fades, will we start to see the damage from loss of jobs and income.

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Robert Reincke posted an update 5 years ago

I really enjoy the informative and data driven reports you guys give.
Thank you

Seth Golden replied 5 years ago
@rr5960 thank you! Glad you find them informative and value-added!

Robert Reincke posted an update 5 years ago

Just thinking Even with Fed injections we have not even begun to see the long term economic fallout from this lockdown. Failed small businesses, personal bankruptcies, mortgage defaults, etc. I don’t see this as a big recovery at this point.
It’s looking more like corporate welfare every day. Not something middle or lower income America is happy about.

Seth Golden replied 5 years ago
It won’t be an easy road back, but it never is and in the moment it will seem like forever. But 2-3 years from now it will appear as a blip on the economy and markets, it always ends up playing out that way, regardless of the causation and steepness of the fall.

Mark Minnis posted an update 5 years ago

Mind the gap! How long do you have to wait for an SPX gap to fill? The average is 33 bus days, but the distribution is very skewed. 50% of gaps filled in 7 bus days. 75%…

SPX Gap Fill

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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago

Index ETFs in overbought territory.

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JamesBradley posted an update 6 years ago

dipping my toe in? (vxx short)

vxx

JamesBradley replied 6 years ago
covered for a profit

JamesBradley posted an update 6 years ago

I don’t think there will be a panic, however be aware selling begets selling.

JamesBradley posted an update 6 years ago

For traders: it is prudent to be cautious. Selling begets selling. (I’m just referring to short term mostly). Healthy selloff! Allows one to get back in at lower levels. I’ll allow it to consolidate and then re-enter. Been out of SPXL in the retirement accounts since Jul16th/Jul17th. See past posts. Best wishes to all.

JamesBradley posted an update 6 years ago

“Fed in a Box” Another great report! Thank you. Fundamentally I would agree that we see a higher market in the medium term future. For now, I’m happy that I’m out as of the 16th and 17th on the retirement accounts. We will see what earnings this quarter will bring. I’ll consider getting back in lower or with some sideways chop, I will go long…[Read more]

JamesBradley posted an update 6 years ago

Watching futures and overseas markets. Happy that my 3X bull etfs, still intact: EDC,EURL,YINN.

Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago

3 things to watch for when ECB meets on Thursday https://www.marketwatch.com/story/3-things-to-watch-for-when-ecb-meets-thursday-2019-06-05?mod=mw_latestnews

JamesBradley posted an update 6 years ago

Regarding the State of the Markets video (SOTM) 5/16/19 (today) You will not find someone who can hit it out of the ballpark better than Seth. He is spot on with his reporting of China’s joint ventures with other nearby countries. I experienced this firsthand as a cargo 747 Captain flying into China’s neighboring countries several years ago. I als…[Read more]