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Seth Golden and Wrg2000 are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden and Adam are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
CITI slashes Apple iPhone sales outlook based on trade feud -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Aggregate Estimates and Revisions
First quarter earnings are expected to increase 1.5% from 18Q1. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate is 2.9%.
Of the 483 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for 19Q1, 75.2% have reported earnings above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 65%…[Read more] -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
The ETF universe had net inflows of $5.3 billion last week as all three asset groups took in net new money. Equity ETFs (+$5.0 billion) were responsible for the lion’s share of the net inflows, while taxable bond and muni bond ETFs accounted for $226 million and $79 million, respectively, of the total net inflows. The largest individual net i…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic Bernstein more bullish in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5 years, 5 months ago
1. Toni dives into Apple’s Services business concluding that it can grow double digits over the next 3-5 years.
2. Aside from the iPhone replacement cycle he thinks the second biggest controversy is the sustainability of growth for Services, which currently represent 18% of revenues and 31% of gross profits.
3. Toni’s forecasting the ins…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Golden Capital Portfolio Holdings-Activity:
1. VXX = 10% of Portfolio exposure; untouched in 2019
2. UVXY= building and trading YTD; current core up to 1,986 shares
3. KO = acquired in Q1 $49.28, collecting quarterly dividend and will continue to hold
4. VZ = acquired $56.78, sold some at $59.55, continuing to hold and collecting dividend
5.…[Read more] -
Seth Golden started the topic Bernstein Analyst in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 5 months ago
Bernstein Quant:
in the light of a pull-back in global equities in May and the US 10 year breaking through 2.4% we take stock of our key forward-looking indicators.1. We think that volatility will increase to year end but also expect the market to end the year close to current levels.
2. Negative investor pessimism as shown by the significant…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Friday considerations: Bouncing off Thursday’s sell-off. U.K. Prime Minister resigns. China equity markets bounced for the most part and Europe is trading higher in the 7:00 a.m. EST hour. Oil needs to rebound throughout the day for U.S. equities to rebound all day. Treasurys are selling off with yields higher, still inverted with 3 month–10…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Latest AAII survey results show bullish sentiment continues to dip while bearish sentiment continues to rise. -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Historic table from LPL Financial to remind that pullbacks are normal and healthy -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Interesting article on potential forward outlook for S&P 500 returns. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/rare-bullish-sp-500-move-that-has-occurred-only-16-times-in-the-past-70-years-is-flashing-green-2019-05-22?mod=mw_theo_homepage -
Seth Golden and Sonny Koliwad are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Always a good idea to listen to both the bull and bear case. Here is the latest from Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/thoughts-on-the-market?cid=SM_CORP_SM_CORP_TWITTER_MorganStanley_20190521&linkId=67853966
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Mike raises some valid points about Earnings. I’m unsure if an Earnings recession is imminent as Mike suggests but I’m concerned about the potential slow down in earnings on…
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Seth Golden and Shay A are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden and Greg Gozz are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
M2 building contango all day upwards of 3%. Term structure remains extremely flat with most contrast within $1 value of each other. As such, the jump risk has been elevated since mid 2018. -
Seth Golden started the topic Mike Stanley of Morgan Stanley in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 5 months ago
MS US Equity Strategist Mike Wilson thinks Street estimates for the overall market are too high in 2H, and today he revisits as Underweight in Technology, and particular caution around Semiconductor stocks:
1. Even looking through the 3rd round of tariffs, the overall macro picture is not the type of environment that will lead to a reacceleration…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic AAPL downgraded at HSBC in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5 years, 5 months ago
HSBC cut the company’s target price from $180 a share to $174, citing concerns about trade tariffs on Chinese imports and shrinking iPhone demand. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/20/apple-shares-slide-as-hsbc-cuts-price-target.html?__source=twitter%7Cmain
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Seth Golden started the topic Morgan Stanley Upgrade in the forum Target (TGT) 5 years, 5 months ago
Morgan Stanley upgraded Target on Monday, saying it sees improving margins and a more, “balanced,” risk/reward for the retail giant. The firm upgraded the stock to equal-weight from underweight and reiterated its $67 price target.
“First, we think TGT’s margin erosion (a core tenet of our prior Underweight view) is likely to moderate in the nea…[Read more]
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