-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Harnett Flows to know:1. Cash mountain yet to peak…MMF assets up $1.2tn past 14 weeks to $4.8tn
2. Gold mountain building….record 6-week inflow to gold funds
3. Hig…
-
Seth Golden and
Colin Leath are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Goldman Sachs: Trade tension z-score not climbing. -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
GS, what they expect:
nonfarm payrolls declined by 24 million in April
unemployment rate rose from 4.4% to 14.0%
And:
In interpreting tomorrow’s report, we will pay special attention to the number and share of workers on furlough or temporary layoff. -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
CTA beta to equities at 0 currently.What is the next move? chased in on the long side?
CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisors) have the potential to move markets.
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
CITI: too early for cyclicals
1. Since the sell-off started, the performance gap between global Cyclical (-21%) and Defensive (-10%) sectors has been 11%.2. In the last five global downturns, the average performance gap between Cyclicals and Defensives has been 20%.
3. We think the current performance gap could double.
4. When to overweight…[Read more]
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
TRIN at ~ 1.44 -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
Latest S&P 500 sector weighting -
Seth Golden and
Steve Brown are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. A number of the high-frequency indicators we track suggest that the global economy is in the process of bottoming out. Consumers’ future expectations have improved, mobility trends have moved up from their troughs and consumer spending is contracting more slowly than in the early weeks of the outbreak.
2. Hence, while global growth will t…[Read more]
-
thanks Seth…the MOVE or bond vol index has fallen to more normal levels…has often preceded equity vol in both directions…perhaps could be function of Fed intervention etc in bond market but interesting nonetheless…
-
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. We believe this correction could be a meaningful (10%) but necessary pause that refreshes. Our bullish view has not changed, nor has the narrative – a severe r… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
-
Seth Golden and
cooper-marie are now friends 4 years, 6 months ago -
Seth Golden replied to the topic TVIX May 2020 Uptrend or Downtrend in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 4 years, 6 months ago
I don’t think IV or HV have come down enough to represent confidence in modeling even out 30 days. VIX futures volume dying off recently also suggests the risk/reward doesnt give either side an edge, long or short. Given how unique the situation is I think you still are best positioned for light trading with defined daily/weekly risk parameters in…[Read more]
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
April – May 1 Finom Group Trade Alerts completed for Premium and MasterMind Options members. -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
The Grandfather of the CBOE himself: VIX -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
-
Seth Golden replied to the topic TVIX May 2020 Uptrend or Downtrend in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 4 years, 6 months ago
Market consolidation is likely near-term. It should coincide with an uptick in VIX/VIX-futures. The appropriate approach is to participate for long-term with TVIX. Since it is constructed and correlated to decay over time, position accordingly.
-
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago
1. it fell significantly more than normal peak-trough declines for the 11 past recessions
2. it fell more than 3 out of the 5 last recessions
3. This is the fastest… - Load More
Colin Leath
Steve Brown
Recently Active Members
Latest News
MarketWatch.com – Top Stories
- Palantir’s stock is moving to the Nasdaq. Why investors are cheering the move. November 15, 2024The change positions Palantir for entry into the Nasdaq 100 index, after it joined the S&P 500 several months back.
- ‘I’m 38 and completely broke’: I earn $50,000 a year. What professional degree will guarantee me six figures? November 15, 2024“I am willing to put in an extra 1 to 4 years of schooling and use student loans to pay for it.”
- AST SpaceMobile stock slides after Q3 loss widens November 15, 2024Shares of AST SpaceMobile Inc. fell in extended trading Thursday after the space-based broadband company’s third-quarter loss widened.