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Seth Golden posted a new activity comment 6 years, 9 months ago
All good!
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Seth Golden posted a new activity comment 6 years, 9 months ago
I would agree with your comments Guillermo. We have a different operation as I manage a portfolio, demanding of me profits and to the extent I can actively manage strategies I’m obligated. But for individuals I certainly wouldn’t recommend the LOB, very difficult and needs precision timing.
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Seth Golden posted a new activity comment 6 years, 9 months ago
Not sure it’s safer if you hold it overnight. But nice job! I just covered that scalp per my update! Good action even with a drawdown day to keep the portfolio with realized gains!
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Covered the VXX $27.80 here at $27.40 for a nice scalp on the day. Core unaffected other than some drawdown on the day.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Shorted small lot $27.80, looking for simple scalp. Not core addition
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I did the short the box thing. But with call spreads. Then bought Calls to hedge but with lower price. Been letting the long calls go 1 by 1 every little bit it goes up. First time doing it and I like it. It’s probably safer to do it this way.
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Not sure it’s safer if you hold it overnight. But nice job! I just covered that scalp per my update! Good action even with a drawdown day to keep the portfolio with realized gains!
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I’ve been covering my shorts in relative short periods (hard for me to hold a long term core), I consider the LOB strategy very similar, except it takes more MR, and you still need to time it at perfection, or you will see the profits diluting on one side or the other.
For me, just the fact that I need to think when to add or reduce my long is a…[Read more]-
I would agree with your comments Guillermo. We have a different operation as I manage a portfolio, demanding of me profits and to the extent I can actively manage strategies I’m obligated. But for individuals I certainly wouldn’t recommend the LOB, very difficult and needs precision timing.
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I say safer cause it’s money I am willing to lose. Never intended to profit. Like my safety net. It’s still cost significantly less than the short. But now it’s more profit letting it go on a spike I did not expect.
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All good!
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Seth Golden replied to the topic They're Not Letting up in the forum Volatility Playground: Causation of the day! 6 years, 9 months ago
sorry, few days before the nearest Futures expiration.
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Seth Golden started the topic They're Not Letting up in the forum Volatility Playground: Causation of the day! 6 years, 9 months ago
It seems as though there remains a good deal of VIX hedging going on given that the next government shutdown, potential shutdown, is happening only a few days after the nearest VIX Futures expire. Major reasons as to the steeping of the front end of the curve. May persist, remains to be seen.
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Seth Golden posted a new activity comment 6 years, 9 months ago
Yes, that was a pretty good dip to participate with. I think major averages are already up more than 5% for the year, remarkable indeed!
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Seth Golden started the topic 5% Contango Rule in the forum VIX RESOURCES/Contango 6 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden started the topic How Do Bitcoin Futures Work in the forum Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, & Altcoins 6 years, 9 months ago
The CME and Cboe/CFE, two large, well respected, USA regulated futures exchanges, recently started trading Bitcoin futures. These venues make it possible to trade on Bitcoin’s value without being exposed to the uncertainties of the mostly unregulated Bitcoin exchanges. https://sixfigureinvesting.com/2018/01/how-do-bitcoin-futures-work/
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Setting Up for 20% correction says Piper Jaffray in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 6 years, 9 months ago
Can’t disagree with you there. Sometimes analysts overthink to a point where simplification is no less effective. But you can imagine how much interest he drove for the firm from the 20% call!
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Equity furthers are lower with VIX Futures higher, both modestly. -
Seth Golden replied to the topic Setting Up for 20% correction says Piper Jaffray in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 6 years, 9 months ago
Nice post Scott, only time will tell, but the longer we go without a menial pullback, 3-5%, the deeper the pullback proves to be.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
Stock Market Performance through Government Shutdowns-
Wouldn’t it be better to see how vix reacts versus the markets?
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Bought this dip in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 6 years, 9 months ago
And I’m out of this trade for a nice intraday profit. Don’t know where it’s going but I know where it’s been. Happy trading to all! Check out the latest Half-Time show!
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Seth Golden started the topic Bought this dip in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 6 years, 9 months ago
Just bought the dip in AAPL below $178. Not a trade alert, just some daily activity. I desire a $.60-$1.00 move per share or stop out $176.8
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 9 months ago
“The House passed a last-minute bill to avoid a government shutdown Thursday night, sending it to the Senate, where it faces a much higher hurdle on the way to President Donald Trump’s desk. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/18/house-has-the-votes-to-avoid-a-government-shutdown-now-comes-the-hard-part.html
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Orders in on the day for VXX in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 9 months ago
Order flow on SPX options has slowed from last two days based on OI and today’s volume. VIX may be expressing some exhaustion but likely to know for sure after 2:30 and based on what happens with broader indexes then. Contango nudged above 5% but VIX Futures still nicely higher on the day!
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Probability for $180 in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 6 years, 9 months ago
The probability proved accurate and the scalp is complete. Could have happened next week also but I was going off this markets desire to achieve whole numbers in an appreciative fashion/scale.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Probability for $180 in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 6 years, 9 months ago
Limit order to sell this scalp $179.97 from $179.11
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Why are these moves not being posted in “trade alerts?” Following the forum in real time is unrealistic.
Also, why no add to the core on a rare move up 10%+ on UVXY/TVIX, what is the target to add more to the core?
The post has been there over an hour and not a forum post but an activity post so it would be front and center on the site. . To post it to trade alerts for a scalp is not practical, unfortunately by the time a trade alert is written and sent the pricing is gone. Always welcome to privately message me for more personal alerts and thoughts on what…[Read more]
Days like this must be tough on the core position…. but I imagine that your scalp trade will soften the blow. Besides, I’m sure any core short position will heal nicely in time….
Weeks like this are tough when UVXY is up 15% while the spy is up 1.5% . Nasdaq 2% … gotta keep the long game in mind I guess =/
Very unkind week and very anomalistic given the SPY surge as @red_penguin said. Short term pain for long-term gain, much agreed!
Its so terrible to watch VXX this week… It looks like the year has so many headwinds for volatility trading ig this continues. If VXX rises when market as well rises, then we have the dangers of bond market…and already very hot market is lookimg for a breather and may increAse volatility. Hope i am all wrong…i almost felt like i was better…[Read more]
As long as you’re positioned with strong liquidity Time is on your side. The complex has been far worse in the past and for similar stretches so it’s best to focus on the long term imo.
Thank you for the quick reply and encouraging words:-)