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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 11 months ago
We are proud to announce that our 2018 PT on shares of SBUX has been achieved today at $66. Per our trade alert, this also represents at least a 10% ROIC. Congratulations to our premium subscribers who participated in the trade!!
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Bloomberg: VIX Could Go Much Lower Just as Hedge Funds Bet on Its Futures in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 11 months ago
Thank you for presenting the article. The midterm elections and the FOMC meeting this week are keeping VIX elevated presently, those are the bigger obstacles facing the market. We’ll have to wait and see how these events shake out and result in investor/market activity. Until then, the market is pricing in a certain amount of volatility.
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 11 months ago
Very simply put, credit spreads are not widening, which is typically the sign of stress in an economy and leads to a recession. -
Seth Golden started the topic Apple Downdgrade over Slowing iPhone sales in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5 years, 11 months ago
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Seth Golden started the topic Amazon Ups the holiday shipping competition in the forum Amazon Retail 5 years, 11 months ago
Amazon.com Inc. AMZN, +0.00% will start offering free shipping with no minimum purchase to all U.S. customers starting Monday and lasting through the holiday season. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amazon-like-target-offering-free-shipping-to-all-us-customers-with-no-minimum-purchase-2018-11-05?mod=newsviewer_click
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 12 months ago
U.S. economy grew 250,000 jobs in October as wages rose at their fastest pace in nearly 9 years https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-adds-250000-jobs-in-october-wages-rise-at-fastest-pace-in-more-than-nine-years-2018-11-02?mod=newsviewer_click
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 12 months ago
Term structure still in backwardation with nearly 3 weeks until m1 expiration. Backwardation has eased a bit over the last couple of trading days and given the reduction in VIX -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 12 months ago
Stocks jump shortly after Trump tweets positive talks moving forward with China https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/01/stock-market-dow-futures-slighly-higher-amid-earnings-data.html
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 12 months ago
Private Payrolls leap in october https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/31/private-payrolls-gain-227k-in-oct-vs-189k-est-adpmoodys.html
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 12 months ago
Focus on Markets: Facebook (FB) reports after the close. Caixen PMI data overnight Wednesday (CHINA). Apple Inc (AAPL) reports after the close on Thursday. Friday is the release of Nonfarm Payroll report.
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Seth Golden started the topic LPL Financial Podcast on Markets in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 12 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago
Another strong trading day with our 2nd TVIX scalp successfully complete. Subscribe to our premium membership and gain access to these trade alerts. -
Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago
After the release of PCE this morning, here is a list of the economic data to be reported this week, including the all-important Nonfarm Payroll data on Friday. -
Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago
Current betting for Dow Futures, will change leading up to 6:00 pm EST -
Seth Golden posted a new activity comment 6 years ago
@quanto I’m not looking to get up to any more than 15% given the time of year. I am looking for a VXX/TVIX combined exposure of up to 15%. Thus far, still holding just 12% exposure as I’ve looked into the coming week’s expected move. We’ll see how the week shapes up before making any core additions.
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Seth Golden posted a new activity comment 6 years ago
@tradealerts-com These Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) are constructed/comprised with VIX Futures, so they will largely move in accordance with the movement of VIX Futures, which were higher, and not necessarily the VIX. Secondly, because the VIX Futures curve is in a state of backwardation, the ETPs have a tailwind for price appreciation rather…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago
Despite the large SPX decline on the day, VIX finished the day lower. Don’t get too excited, as FRidays people take their hedges down, only to put them back on Monday for the week. But, the fact VIX isn’t budging is a medium term good sign.-
@tradealerts-com These Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) are constructed/comprised with VIX Futures, so they will largely move in accordance with the movement of VIX Futures, which were higher, and not necessarily the VIX. Secondly, because the VIX Futures curve is in a state of backwardation, the ETPs have a tailwind for price appreciation rather…[Read more]
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Hi Seth, at this point, what is your target % of portfolio of your short VXX? Thanks!
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@quanto I’m not looking to get up to any more than 15% given the time of year. I am looking for a VXX/TVIX combined exposure of up to 15%. Thus far, still holding just 12% exposure as I’ve looked into the coming week’s expected move. We’ll see how the week shapes up before making any core additions.
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Makes sense to keep the position small during these volatile times. So let’s say if your combined exposure increase above 15% due to more market drops, would you cover part of the position above 15%?
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago
Looking at UVXY-long in the $65-$64s to hedge further. Otherwise, will simply ride current hedge.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years ago
Term strucutre has increased backwardation. Long UVXY/VXX have strong tailwind presently. -
Seth Golden started the topic Moody's Positive on Retail in the forum Target (TGT) 6 years ago
Moody’s issues a positive outlook on retail for the first time since 2015.
“The positive outlook for the US retail industry reflects increasing topline growth and operating profits as companies’ investments to improve both the online and in-store shopping experience continue to gain traction,” says Moody’s VP Mickey Chadha. “The improvement has…[Read more]
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