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Seth Golden and AndreaF are now friends 4 years, 4 months ago
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Nice to meet you. I’m looking forward to learning more about trading volatility etps and more. Have a great weekend.
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
ETFs (+$5.0 billion) had net inflows for the fourth straight week, driven by taxable bond ETFs (+$5.2 billion). The largest individual net inflows among this fund asset group belonged to iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD, +$2.2 billion) and iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG, +$1.6 billion). Muni bond ETFs…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
Citigroup: 1. we still think that 2021 forecasts are too high. Our top-down forecast is 32% below the bottom-up consensus.
2. Our bearish view on 2021 EPS means that we now expect no gains from global equities over the next 12 months.
3. do not chase the currently rally, although we recognize that this is a consensus view.
4. The traditional…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
Marko Kolanovic: 1. bank stocks positioning to break out from their two-month trading range. Multiple upcoming catalysts could solidify and accelerate this breakout
2. Many stars aligned: Value buyers, short coverings, and improving fundamentals (e.g., steepening yield curve, environment benefitting trading/banking, resiliency of the consumer,…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
GS China Consumer Activity tracker continues its gradual recovery Printing new highs -
Seth Golden and Heros Dad are now friends 4 years, 4 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
JPM: “The 2s/10s curve steepening trend extends into the 53.5-57.5bp short-term resistance zone. The technical setup continues to favor an eventual breakout and steepening toward the 70-80bp resistance area” -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
ES-mini liquidity still sucks -
Seth Golden and STro8 are now friends 4 years, 4 months ago
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Seth Golden and AimHi are now friends 4 years, 4 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
“For the remainder of the year, we have been expecting a peak of 25% in June followed by a drop to 12% in December. Our real-time numbers suggest that the peak might… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
1. Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data from Friday showed that net leverage now is at the highest level in more than 2 years.
2. Gross leverage rose to 249.6% (99th percentile).
3. add to this CITI Euphoria data, various recent sentiment indicators as well as RobinHood anecdotal behavior and is it starting to get interesting
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
Despite a nice rise in SPX this past week, VIX dropped only 2%, hence the weekly expected move for the S&P 500 has only dropped from $73/points to $70/points. -
Seth Golden and Grant Nguyen are now friends 4 years, 4 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
CB purchases to fade from $2.4bn per hour to $0.6bn per hour coming months -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
$SPX tactical issues near-term:
1. Gold steady above 1,700
2. Crude possibly top-ping
3. Demark sell signal
4. SPX stocks above 50-DMA 99%ile
5. Macro tensions rise
6. Month-end rebal
7. Rising NDX short interest
8. Defensive rotation (XLP higher lows)
10 MOC sell 2.7bn Thurs -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
Marko Kolanovic, who was one of the absolute first sell-side strategists to turn bullish, is now “dialing down” his positive outlook, based on two risks:
1. paralysis and delays in reopening the US economy
2. geopolitical tensions that could cripple the recovery of global trade
“As the market staged a substantial rally (nearly ~40%) since our…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
Morgan Stanley: “iPhone is tracking above seasonal trends: …as of May 25th, current air quality metrics suggest industrial production is back above historical levels… -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 4 months ago
Positioning is extremely light
1. institutional investor positioning still appears very light. Systematic strategies have only been modest buyers and leverage remains near the lows – and likely remains there in the near-term as volatility remains high. Futures positioning remains very light and most shorts have not been covered.2. US L/S HF n…[Read more]
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