Friends – Activity – Mark Pfeiffer

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

Key Vaccine Charts (Goldman Sachs)

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

S&P 500 New Highs minus New Lows spiked above 100

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

Buy the dip regime remains: 45 times it closed down 1%+. 2/3 of the times did it close up in the next session.
The % is even higher when looking after the wild first few months of last year.

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

Goldman Sachs on election and more stimulus

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

Morgan Stanley: “We think it’s important to have the proper context at times like this.First, we remind
readers thatnew bull markets born duringa recession typicallylast foryears, not
months. In other words, this new bull market likely has a long way to run both in time
and price. Second, capturing the best returns of new bull markets often r…[Read more]

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

Morgan Stanley’s regional GDP forecast

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years ago

The Fed upgraded the United States economic recovery in its last meeting.
Historically, the Fed has been very poor at predicting inflation or unemployment, but much better at GDP.

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

S&P 500: Calendar years that traded down -10% or worse at some point during the year, yet finished the year up 10% or more?

All that matches:

Dec-09
Dec-03
Dec-82
Dec-80

Q1 of the next year has then never closed lower.

Harman Bagha replied 4 years ago
I’m proficient in law but a layman when it comes to the market. What implication does that data have for the week comming up? Waiting for the right time to short covered volitilty products at the correct time.
- Seth Golden replied 4 years ago
  Our Research Report offers greater near term insights to the statistical data

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

Over 2 million people in the U.S. having received their first dose

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

Wells Fargo on fiscal relief economic impact

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

2009 analogue, continuing into 2010…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

When the S&P 500 gained 1% or more the week after Black Friday, the next three months averaged a return of 3.9% with over 80% of the returns positive. When next week has been down by a percent or more, the index lost an average of 4.7% with just 40% of the returns positive.

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

Based on cost estimates of the various provisions and applying the corresponding fiscal multipliers (Chart 1), Bank of America estimates that the new stimulus package will contribute approximately 2.7% to growth in 2021. The bank now expects that more of the stimulus impact will be frontloaded into 1Q (Chart 2). The start of the year has…[Read more]

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 1 month ago

The chart below highlights the average daily change (absolute value) in the S&P 500 (SPX) for each month of the calendar year. Thus far (through 12/9), December is the least volatile on average.