Friends – Activity – Johnk

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 11 months ago

IWM has outperformed SPY over last 3 months

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 11 months ago

Goldman Sachs Risk Appetite Momentum Indicator at historic extremes

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 11 months ago

Cash holdings in M2 and institutional money market funds in the US increased by $1.4tr over the last 12 months. The y/y increase is larger than the 12-month jump in cash ending in early 2009

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 11 months ago

After the ISM moves back to 50 and above the S&P 500 performs quite well

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 11 months ago

Investors net short SPX futures/E-minis

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 11 months ago

As mentioned atop last week’s Research Report and within this week’s State of the Markets video series, we will deliver our next report starting the first week of December. We will also have a Monday morning daily market dispatch to provide a set up for the week to come! Have a great Sunday everyone and see you in the Trading Room Monday!

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 12 months ago

HSBC: do NOT get complacent about 2020 earnings
“We are concerned that the market is being slightly complacent about the downside risks to corporate earnings. Global…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 12 months ago

HSBC Pullback Probability Indicator uses a machine learning technique known as XGBoost to predict the likelihood of global equities falling in the next four weeks

The…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 12 months ago

VIX too low for too long or not?

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 12 months ago

JPM: the upside for stocks remains material
Bears: Equities are already up 23% ytd, a lot is in the price, with no new positive catalysts.

JPM: We disagree, and expect more upside from here, looking at the following catalysts:

1. While equities have performed well this year, they had outflows throughout. Since Jan ’18, US equities saw $225bn o…[Read more]

Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 12 months ago

1. Jefferies Equity Research udpated their analysis of S&P 500 earnings call transcripts and find that 2x as many companies in 3Q indicated that they (or customers) are…

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 12 months ago

Morgan Stanley u-turning on Equities: now bullish….
1. Global Cross-Asset is UPGRADING Equities:

“After almost 18 months of decelerating global economic activity, Morgan Stanley’s global economics team expects growth to bottom in 1Q20 and improve thereafter…The improvement will be modest compared with past recoveries, and will be a m…[Read more]