-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
Here is how sectors perform when we have FALLING inflation from high levels.
Most probable from rate-of-change alone. (1st column)
Good for defensives, bad for cyclicals. Part of normalizing PMIs from high levels also. -
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
Big jump WoW in CY2022 EPS from $225 to $227.39. Biggest jump from one week to the next in 2022.
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
For every investor concern there’s a full-proof remedy
-Trade war
-Weaker economy
-Recession
-Rising rates
-High inflation
-Yield-curve inversion
-Correction
-Great Financial Crisis
-Monetary tightening
-WarTime is an investor’s best friend; extend your time horizon!
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
J.P. Morgan:
Recessions still unlikely:
More gains in earnings
Bottoming in China activity
Fed not to turn ever more hawkish
Oil rose 238% entering 1974 & 198% entering
1980, which resulted in recessions. Current moves
nothing on this scale -
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
Years that start off bearish tend to end off bullish.
In the last 10 years when the S&P 500 was negative through Feb, 7 of them ended the year positive (70%). The only exceptions were the Dot com crash (2001,2002) and the Global Financial Crisis (2008). -
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
Fundstrat:
10 of 10 times the S&P 500 higher 12 months later
– 8 of 10 times the S&P 500 higher 6 months later
– average gain 35.2% and 16.8%, respectively -
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and Mark Newton:
In the 2022 context, what this means is that the S&P 500 can bottom well
ahead of the Russia-Ukraine conflict bottoming. We believe the odds still favor
2/24 to be the low for 1H2022. We think the probability is more than 50%,
maybe 70%-75% but it is not at the “no brainer” level. And this all feeds int…[Read more] -
Seth Golden and Mila are now friends 3 years ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
S&P 500 performance post SOTU’s since 2001
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
From Michael Antonelli!
-
Seth Golden and Danny Matos are now friends 3 years ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
Fundstrat’s Mark Newton
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
$QQQ: Last time both ATR and Williams %R (-.80+) were at extremes together, the bottom was in.
More, new and fresh turmoil may be need to find lower-lows. Otherwise, strong argument to be made for a bottom.
-
Seth Golden and hashamkhan are now friends 3 years ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
J.P. Morgan on Russia/Ukraine/Fed
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
-
Seth Golden and jassimraja are now friends 3 years ago
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
J.P. Morgan’s Kolanovic: Macro Outlook
-
Seth Golden posted an update 3 years ago
How has the market performed around wars/conflicts?
-
Seth Golden and josephzaiser are now friends 3 years ago
- Load More