Volguru,

Good posting and it is a trade one should recognize along the lines of many variables and attributes specific to their person. I offer updates on my core, positioning and liquidity as a means for others to build their personal parameters. What works for Seth may not work for others for reasons of specificity. Would have to agree as I…[Read more]

Germantrader,

If you are nervous then you may not have an appropriately sized position. Feel free to message me if you like!

That’s certainly one way to review the recent activity and action to take for which I respect wholly. I’m in and building!

@ronturkey @ultrafeel Yes I did lean on the side of the market cycle as I feel its prudent to do so. If we were earlier in the cycle I’d push the envelope, but we aren’t as we see in both chronological terms as well as inflationary terms. As it were in 2015 with me, I went into that spike with over 70% cash and was still found wanting due to the…[Read more]

This was a great question and great comments and insight offered!! $10k with necessary risk management, liquidity/time doesn’t seem worth it at this stage of the bull cycle. Admittedly that’s my opinion and largely because of the sums of money in question don’t offer a path to riches. But yes, I’d like to believe and offer that there is…[Read more]

Ethan, you can post screen shots in your activity feed. Simply go to your profile and click on Activity. Then you’ll see where it offers an update for you to comment. Once you click the bock to input, below that you will see a small camera icon to upload a screen shot. That’s how I do it!

Regarding wide spread between m1 (feb. Vix Futures), it’s presently 1.25 roll yield (spread). That’s somewhat narrower than the typical that I like to see based on history. I like to see 1.50 roll yield minimum. But, it is the best roll yield of the week. Much of the week it was less than .80, so it definitely expanded which is good news. Even…[Read more]

Pschology: I generally align myself to focusing on VIX Futures as opposed to the indexes. VIX futures will tell us what the SPX options sentiment is through the VIX level. While we know that the SPX put/call ration is heavily skewed in favor of puts lately, what’s not mentioned is “what are the probabilities that these get put or taken off as the…[Read more]

Vixcentral.com, under the historical prices tab can show you what the term structure would look like in such a bear market situation. Simply adjust the date to see it in continuum through the 2008 cycle. http://vixcentral.com But you’ll have to help me understand the term “longer-term bear market” to lend a little more color on the subject.