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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
still with some decent amount of backwardation above 5% -
Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
David Lincoln Morning Dispatch looking at the charts https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NItz3jlit4s -
Seth Golden started the topic Target & Kroger possible merger in the forum Target (TGT) 6 years, 6 months ago
Target and Kroger are discussing a possible merger, several people with knowledge of the matter tell Fast Company. https://www.fastcompany.com/40545216/exclusive-as-grocery-wars-rage-target-and-kroger-mull-a-merger
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
It’s a negotiation folks, but here is what Wilbur Ross has to say… https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/22/commerce-secretary-we-expect-some-retaliation-from-new-china-tariffs-but-it-wont-be-the-end-of-the-earth.html -
Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
Fed fears grow after FOMC rate hike https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/22/how-the-feds-outlook-could-be-worrisome-for-markets.html -
Seth Golden replied to the topic Facebook under fire in the forum Facebook (FB) 6 years, 6 months ago
@gvnr this one is a bit more serious and has the stink of possible regulation surrounding it which didn’t really accompany prior kerfuffles.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic 50-30-20 Volatility Strategy in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 6 months ago
Well it seems similar because I pretty much educated Innoware since last year on the totality of the trading complex from A-Z and how I manage my strategy. They simply used my structure and colored within the lines. Sent me the initial draft for which I couldn’t bring myself to anger over the obvious likeness and decided to simply avoid them.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
Lot of uncertainty gathered by the market’s reaction to the Fed press conference, but all-and-all I viewed it as bullish for the economy and benign to markets. Did not tilt toward 4 rate hikes, raised GDP forecast, hinted at concerns surround tariffs. We’ll see how Asia does overnight, but at present I don’t see the concerns. Might be trading…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
VIX futures expiration today, alongside Fed Day! We shed all the backwardation as of the a.m. hours, but remains to be seen as to whether or not we can post contango today.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic 50-30-20 Volatility Strategy in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 6 months ago
Yes @ultrafeel but that distinction never denoted profit parameters going into backwardation either and is a bit of a nonsensical caveat as backwardation historically lasts for brief periods. Practically speaking what do they assume investors to do when term structure is in backwardation, clear the decks? Then we go into contango and try to put…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
“Cracks in the bull case are starting to emerge, with fund managers citing concerns over trade, stagflation and leverage,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, referring to the firm’s monthly global fund managers survey released on Tuesday. https…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic Shift in FAANG in the forum FANG Stock Headlines & Happenings 6 years, 6 months ago
A big change is happening to FAANG stocks that every investor needs to know. The change is also spilling over into other sectors. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-big-change-in-faang-stocks-that-doesnt-bode-well-for-the-future-2018-03-19
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
FedEx (NYSE:FDX) and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) agree to place 500 new FedEx Office locations within select domestic Walmart stores across the U.S. over the next two years. https://seekingalpha.com/news/3340396-fedex-add-500-new-locations-walmart-stores-across-u-s
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
We are in slight backwardation on m2 and with m1 expiration tomorrow. Futures will roll forward. If we end the day where we are with m1 -3.31 and m2 in contango we will shed a good deal of backwardation. But, long day ahead so we’ll see! -
Seth Golden replied to the topic Shiller P/E Over 30 in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 6 months ago
@gvnr it’s a good point but I would argue that PE always matters as the market will always adjust its leadership, so if/when FANG falters there will likely be need leadership that emerges thereafter.
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
While most asset classes are getting hit hard today, on a positive note, this may prove an advantageous set-up going into Wednesday’s Fed press conference and rate hike. Possibly baking in a hawkish tone ahead of the announcement and press conference.
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Hi Seth,
What would be a good strategy to take advantage of this? Wait till wed to short vol, or start now?
Thx-
Down nearly 2% on the major averages with VIX up more than 20% intraday, best to wait for things to level out before dedicating any capital. @lasa
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Hi Seth, I watched your interview with David Lincoln. I wondered if you could go into a little more detail on how you evaluate the S&P options. Since I am new to volatility, I understand you were discussing out of the money options at future months. This is to get some idea of perhaps how volatility may be perceived. I wondered if you could go…[Read more]
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I’m looking at mid month and first set of option strikes for the first week of the following month. Then I’m looking for volume, the only true indicator is volume. But keep in mind just because there is volume and just because strikes are OTM showing expected declines, doesn’t mean they will be right or just a hedge. Volume first and foremost.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic 50-30-20 Volatility Strategy in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 6 months ago
I can delete it @ajthrasher, but don’t worry about it, can be a good reference point of some of the pitfalls.
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Shiller P/E Over 30 in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 6 months ago
Here’s a link to Yardeni’s recent report and PE ratios on S&P 500 https://www.yardeni.com/pub/stockmktperatio.pdf
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Seth Golden posted an update 6 years, 6 months ago
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Seth Golden replied to the topic 50-30-20 Volatility Strategy in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 6 months ago
I’ve left the topic up, but had many discussions with Innoware, offering the math doesn’t add up and the strategy required a perfect environment for VIX to work. Math just doesn’t work. Euphoric gentlemen albeit nice guys and wish them well.
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