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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
Wuhan a major manufacturing hub in Central China’s Hubei Province
for semiconductor, panel and auto sectors
In the short term, a delay in product delivery, coupled with logistics issues brought about by the lockdown of Wuhan, could cut supplies for smartphone and computer makers in urgent need of chips and displays to assemble electronic…[Read more] -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
JPM: Corona consumer channel checks
1. shopping malls or department stores that were still open during the period also saw a sharp traffic decline (down 80%~100%)2. In Shanghai, restaurants were losing 80-100% of their reservations, as consumers try to reduce social activities
3. Several provinces such as Sichuan ordered the suspension of…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic Latest from JPM in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 4 years, 9 months ago
JPM: looking through Corona – fundamental backdrop for equities is supportive – 7 reasons to buy
1 the Global PMI downturn that was in force over the past 18 months is likely ending2. Rising trade uncertainty during that time was a significant headwind, but the recent ceasefire should drive a bounce
3. current crisis pushes Chinese policymakers…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
Gross leverage of the overall book decreased -0.6 pts to 244.6% (93rd percentile) and Net leverage decreased -2.5 pts to 69.5% (72nd percentile) -
Seth Golden and Sandra salz are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden and Pankesh Jariwala are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
Canaccord Genuity: The combination of better-than-expected Q4/19 EPS, strong credit, and an easy Fed makes it hard to be overly negative, while the still overbought tactical condition and unknown macro impact from the spreading coronavirus makes it difficult to be too positive. Indeed, these crosscurrents reinforce our decision to move to a…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
Already a nice shift to the June FFF showing an increased probability for a rate cut in June. Needs to get to above 60% of course, but it’s heading there as of the present. -
Seth Golden and rzssun are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
JPM iPhone installed base -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
JPM: “We think global consumers are well positioned for an improvement in spending data this quarter after a weak gain in 4Q19. This path, however, might be disrupted by a shock to activity in China from the coronavirus outbreak” -
Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
VIX’s RSI is above 75. When this happened before, VIX’s forward returns were HEAVILY bearish. VIX fell 96% of the time 1 week later. -
Seth Golden and philmorris7 are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden and MikeSans are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
ZIKA and story count vs. SPX -
Seth Golden and Faisal Alkhamis are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden and Robert Reincke are now friends 4 years, 9 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 9 months ago
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