@bikechain
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Seth Golden started the topic MS cuts AAPL in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5 years, 5 months ago
MS Lowering AAPL bear case to $147: App Store remains a focus of regulators in the US and EU, and Katy takes a shot at the ‘worst case’ today = exiting media services or lowering App Store commission rate reduces valuation by $3-13. This is now fully reflected in her bear case valuation.
Her current view on the stock: “…continue to see…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic BofAML on Rate cuts in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 5 months ago
Bank of America Merrill Lynch, see the Fed cutting interest rates by 75 basis points by early 2020. They see rates starting to be cut in September.
They add:
See PBOC cutting a Chinese interest rates twice in 2019, and once in 2020 (keeping pace with the US)
Downgrade US 2nd half 2019 GDP growth view to 1.2% from 1.8% previously
Lowers annual GDP…[Read more] -
Seth Golden and
Alex P are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Goldman Sachs Bear Market indicator. -
Seth Golden started the topic Amazon Unlikely to Buy Boost Mobile in the forum Amazon Retail 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
S&P 500 percent of stocks above 200-DMA continues to weaken -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Goldman estimates Mexico tariff impact on S&P 500 EPS -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Yesterday was the lowest $VIX close ever for a -5% or worse $SPX MTD close. 5/29 was the 3rd lowest. Who’s playing with fire long? -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Equity put call ratio rose to highest level since Dec ’18 -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Corporates remain active as we estimate recent daily notional executed across the street (over last 10 trading sessions) to be ~$7b compared to a daily avg of $4.8b in 2018 which was the most active buyback year on record. Also, month-end rebalancing suggest (see chart) -
Seth Golden and
Wrg2000 are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago -
Seth Golden and
Adam are now friends 5 years, 5 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
CITI slashes Apple iPhone sales outlook based on trade feud -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 5 months ago
Aggregate Estimates and Revisions
First quarter earnings are expected to increase 1.5% from 18Q1. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate is 2.9%.
Of the 483 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for 19Q1, 75.2% have reported earnings above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 65%…[Read more] -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 6 months ago
The ETF universe had net inflows of $5.3 billion last week as all three asset groups took in net new money. Equity ETFs (+$5.0 billion) were responsible for the lion’s share of the net inflows, while taxable bond and muni bond ETFs accounted for $226 million and $79 million, respectively, of the total net inflows. The largest individual net i…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic Bernstein more bullish in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5 years, 6 months ago
1. Toni dives into Apple’s Services business concluding that it can grow double digits over the next 3-5 years.
2. Aside from the iPhone replacement cycle he thinks the second biggest controversy is the sustainability of growth for Services, which currently represent 18% of revenues and 31% of gross profits.
3. Toni’s forecasting the ins…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 6 months ago
Golden Capital Portfolio Holdings-Activity:
1. VXX = 10% of Portfolio exposure; untouched in 2019
2. UVXY= building and trading YTD; current core up to 1,986 shares
3. KO = acquired in Q1 $49.28, collecting quarterly dividend and will continue to hold
4. VZ = acquired $56.78, sold some at $59.55, continuing to hold and collecting dividend
5.…[Read more] -
Seth Golden started the topic Bernstein Analyst in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 6 months ago
Bernstein Quant:
in the light of a pull-back in global equities in May and the US 10 year breaking through 2.4% we take stock of our key forward-looking indicators.1. We think that volatility will increase to year end but also expect the market to end the year close to current levels.
2. Negative investor pessimism as shown by the significant…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 6 months ago
Friday considerations: Bouncing off Thursday’s sell-off. U.K. Prime Minister resigns. China equity markets bounced for the most part and Europe is trading higher in the 7:00 a.m. EST hour. Oil needs to rebound throughout the day for U.S. equities to rebound all day. Treasurys are selling off with yields higher, still inverted with 3 month–10…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 6 months ago
Latest AAII survey results show bullish sentiment continues to dip while bearish sentiment continues to rise. - Load More
Alex P
Adam
