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Seth Golden and suggsm are now friends 5 years, 3 months ago
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
BAML on tariff impact for iPhones -
Seth Golden replied to the topic Goldman changes view on rate cuts in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 3 months ago
Goldman Sachs: Global markets are teetering on the edge of two narratives.
1. On one side you have global easing from central banks with the Fed cutting and ending its balance sheet run off and soon to hear from the ECB in Sept, this has clearly re-rated defensives and secular growers as TINA has been the prevailing theme re-rating equity…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic CFRA upgrade in the forum Twitter (TWTR) 5 years, 3 months ago
Shares of Twitter Inc. TWTR surged 4.2% in midday trading Wednesday, to extend gains in the wake of the social-media company’s second-quarter results, after CFRA analyst John Freeman backed away from his bearish rating and boosted his price target by nearly 33%. The rally put the stock on track to close at a one-year high, and follows an 8.9%…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
After first rate cut in expansion conditions:
a) Real GDP change around rate cuts in expansions (since 1990):
Quarter before rate cut: 2.6%
Quarter of rate cut: 2.4%
Quarter after rate cut: 2.9%The data is similar back to 1971:
Quarter before rate cut: 2.4%
Quarter of rate cut: 2.7%
Quarter after rate cut: 3%-
Good morning, Seth. Thanks for this historical information. Do you know how many times rates were cut when unemployment was at all time low, major stock indexes at all time high, consumer spending high, etc. do you think this may be the aberration outlier?
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Yes, within a few of our research reports we outline some of these historic occasions. in 1995 market was at all time high exactly and they cut rates 25 bps. in 2001 employment all time low and cut rates. Consumer spending is always trending higher during expansion cycles.
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Good morning, Seth
Thanks for the historic info. With stock market indices at all time high, unemployment at all time low, consumer spending high, etc., that this could be the aberration outlier? In the past, rate cuts were executed when we were at the other end of the spectrum, yes?-
I think you might be referring to the most recent times we’ve cut ie. 2001 and 2007, which were both during recessions, not during expansions.
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Seth Golden started the topic Piper Jaffray Ups PT in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5 years, 3 months ago
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson raised his price target for Apple (AAPL) to $243 from $230 after the company reported June quarter revenue and earnings ahead of Street expectations.
The stock in premarket trading is up 4%, or $8.97, to $217.75.
The analyst expects “limited excitement” around this year’s iPhone launches. However, as long as…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
the S&P 500 has not had a daily return of plus or minus +1% in over 7 weeks. That’s highly unusual, as the S&P has typically had one 1% day/week on average over the last 60 years -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
Small cap and mid cap EPS and Revs for Q2 so far -
Seth Golden and Brian Donnely are now friends 5 years, 3 months ago
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Seth Golden replied to the topic Recession early warning – 5 indicators ? in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 3 months ago
Thanks for the article link. Will certainly check it out. Miss ya in the room!
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Seth Golden started the topic JP Morgan's Mislav on Q2 EPS in the forum S&P 500 Analysts Notes 5 years, 3 months ago
1. Over a third of companies have reported in the US so far, 34% in Europe and only 13% in Japan.
2. Initial results point to a positive earnings surprise in the US, Europe and in Japan, to the tune of 5%, 4% and 1%, respectively.
3. This follows a significant reduction in earnings expectations going into the quarter, in particular for the…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic GS &JPM Raising Estimates in the forum Amazon Retail 5 years, 3 months ago
1. taking up estimates across the board: “We revise our 2019-2021 revenue/adj. EBITDA estimates +4% / -5% per year on average to reflect the net impact of accelerating growth driven by global one-day Prime delivery investments and revised expectations for growth and margin at AWS”
2. “With revenue growth accelerating, we continue to believe AMZN…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic GOOGL Price Targets Raised in the forum FANG Stock Headlines & Happenings 5 years, 3 months ago
Goldman: We maintain our Buy rating (on CL), and raise our 12-month price target from $1,350 to $1,400. At ~$1,225 in the aftermarket, GOOGL trades at 26x and 23x our CY19 and CY20 EPS estimates of $46.61 and $52.91 versus our prior forecasts of $44.72 and $52.17.
JPM: Revenue Trajectory Restored at 20%+ w/Incremental Disclosures & Bigger…[Read more]
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Seth Golden started the topic Deutsche on GOOGL Q2 2019 in the forum FANG Stock Headlines & Happenings 5 years, 3 months ago
“We came away encouraged by the improved
quantity and quality of business disclosures after countless quarters of being dissatisfied by the magnitude of business insights gained from the calls. Hopefully this
trend continues.” -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
$VZ our long trade on Verizon also proved profitable today from $55.94 sold for a quick scalp profit at $56.53 today. -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
Our most recent short trade on shares of Macy’s (M) worked nicely. Subscribe today and trade with us! -
Seth Golden replied to the topic MN upgrades with $210 price target in the forum Facebook (FB) 5 years, 3 months ago
Morgan Stanley ups PT to $235 and JPM ups PT to $255
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Seth Golden started the topic Bernstein on Netflix "just a blip" in the forum FANG Stock Headlines & Happenings 5 years, 3 months ago
Bernstein analyst is out making the case that NFLX Q2 was a blip in the LT growth trajectory as opposed to something more structural.
1. sub growth through double-digit price increase shows strength in absolute
2. churn is returning to pre-pricing levels
3. 2H guide is strong, and think Mgmt. is wise enough to not outline huge expectations for…[Read more]
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Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
J.P. Morgan on the housing data -
Seth Golden posted an update 5 years, 3 months ago
Richmond Fed manufacturing index - Load More