by Ian Shephardson of Pantheon MacroEconomic ADP and JOLTS are Unreliable Guides to Labor Market Trends The record of the all-new ADP methodology in predicting the first estimate of the monthly official private payroll numbers is unimpressive, as our first chart shows. ADP’s 106K increase in January completely failed to spot the 443K surge in the official measure. This was…
Are private sector balance sheets, income & profits, liquidity, and pessimism simply too strong to have a recession? By...
Look for further upside in 2022, the cycle is far from finished… the dip driven by new variant scare...
by Jim Paulsen, The Tush Push has become a popular play among both NFL and college football teams. ...
Posted on August 6, 2018 by Andrew Thrasher, CMT I’ve spent a great of time looking at and...
Much of the trading week was once again driven by fear of inflation, rising bond yields and a continuation...
The last two trading weeks have not made the bulls whole, but have certainly slashed the hopes of those...
With the Fire portion of our Fire and Ice thesis playing out, we await the timing and magnitude of...
Correction right on schedule.2 weeks ago we called for a second 10% correction in as many months as we...
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