Since the start of the rate hike cycle in 2022, regional business cycles have weakened, earnings growth has stagnated (S&P 500 2021-2024E EPS: $208-$225, ~2.5% CAGR), and the market has moved sideways averaging near our price target of 4,200 (2022 avg: ~4,100; 2023 avg: ~4,250). Equity concentration reached levels not seen since 1970s with a very narrow leadership, which is…
J.P. Morgan’s Quant Team 2024 U.S. Equity Outlook
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Flash-Back to the Future: Investors Ringing The Bell
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Welcome back to our weekend Research Report and look inside all the macro-market driving forces for which we analyze...
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Trade & Policy Turn Ugly & Markets Follow
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Given the state of macro-affairs that are bleeding into the market outlook, this week’s Research Report will discuss the...
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Pivotal Week Ahead Of An April Snooze-Fest!
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The coming week will prove a meaningful earnings week, as the Mega-cap Growth companies will be reporting their quarterly...
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The Leuthold Group: August Green Book
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The month of October gets all the “love,” but since 1990, August has been the cruelest month for stocks....
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Disinflationary Forces Under Review
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Dr. Ed Yardeni Go figure: Stocks & bonds sold off on Tuesday following a hotter-than-expected Q1 Employment Cost Index...
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Merrill Lynch: How tight are financial conditions?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
No Clear Path to Easier Financial Conditions Financial conditions are a key transmission mechanism for monetary policy and geopolitical...
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Weekly Warm-up: Markets priced for tighter Fed but not for growth risks
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the Fed’s hawkish pivot, the first part half of our long standing narrative of Fire and Ice has...
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Debt Ceiling Lay Ahead: Are There Reasons To Be Bullish?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
There are a great many opinions on the market and the potential outcome/s for the debt ceiling that lay...