Cross-asset strategy: This week’s Fed reiteration that it won’t hike for about three years despite extraordinary fiscal stimulus is extending the repricing of risk premia across financial markets. For us, the direction of risk premia is unambiguously higher in Bonds (high breakevens, steeper curves), but lower in Equities, HY Credit and Commodities (less earnings, default and inventory risk) and…
J.P. Morgan: The other sting in the tail from fiscal policy; higher taxes and the Value rotation
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Merrill Lynch On Housing And The S&P 500
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
IN THIS ISSUE • Macro Strategy—Housing activity and prices are currently picking up, supported by a convergence of cyclical,...
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Merrill Lynch: Credit Restraint And Grinding Macro-Market Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
By Merrill Lynch Macro Strategy—Deep Credit Restraint Likely In The Pipeline: Rapid-fire Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes...
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Summer Doldrums and Fool-Bearing Price Action
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The table has turned. In 2022, the S&P 500 (SPX) and peer indices finished the first half of the...
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Weekly State of the Market: Bond Yield Breakdown
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
You can know everything there is to know about markets, technicals, fundamentals and still be a poor investor/trader… why?...
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Bank Of America: Consumer Card Spending Morsels
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Key talking points We take a look at how consumers have historically adjust their spending during recessions and compare...
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It May Be Time To Back Up Before Next Leg Higher?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In the week that was, the S&P 500 (SPX) found itself another leg higher, capturing new record-level highs and...
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Flash-Back to the Future: Investors Ringing The Bell
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Welcome back to our weekend Research Report and look inside all the macro-market driving forces for which we analyze...
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Death, Taxes And VIX-Leveraged Intrinsic Decay
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
They say there are only two certainties in life: Death and Taxes. Of course, as a colloquialism, it is...
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