7 GENERAL PRINCIPLES: What is evidence-based research 1. Nothing new under the sun: Importance of looking at cycles 2. Equities junior in capital structure: Bonds lead stocks 3. Don’t shout at the market: Market doesn’t care about my opinion 4. Stop carrying a “Lehman hammer”: Avoid cognitive bias 5. Confidence drives markets: Confidence changes faster than fundamentals 6. Demographics are…
Interactions with clients suggest our 2023 earnings forecast is now very much out of consensus. This is a change...
The S&P 500 (SPX) and its peer indices have had quite the bullish move off of the Christmas Eve...
It looked as though markets were on the precipice of breaking down earlier in the trading week, and as...
Macro Strategy—European Equity Risks Increase, Caution Still Warranted: Last month’s European Union (EU) parliamentary elections have marked a turning...
During the holiday shortened trading week, the excitement was already anticipated and proclaimed by the bulls with strong market...
Some macroeconomic storm clouds are brewing. Markets are fleeing for shelter in Treasuries, leaving behind almost everything else, including...
The average length of the bear markets since WW II has been 16 months; the average length of the...
Everyday I read The Chart Report. It’s a mixture of charts and thoughtful quotes for what I find to...
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