Archive for category: Research Reports

Cross-Asset Strategy: With equities trading near last summer’s highs and at above-average multiples, despite weakening earnings and the recent...

Larger narrative is Fed “disinflation” is a massive course correction. Strong Jan equity returns borrowing from Feb, but dip...

To take a page out of last weekend’s Research Report, let’s highlight the theme centered on the probability of...

“During his tenure Lynch trounced the market overall and beat it in most years, racking up a 29 percent...

 Macro Strategy—Fixed Income Positioning: Be Circumspect and Mind the Disconnect: For the past several months, risk assets including credit...

  If you would like to watch our weekly State of the Market video, please click the provided link...

The ECI is the best measure of wage growth, but you still need to look under the hood, not...

Doug Ramsey Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager: Doug is the Chief Investment Officer of The Leuthold Group, LLC, and...

 Chief Investment Office Macro Strategy Team at Merrill Lynch: Macro Strategy—Treasury Offsetting QT Until Mid-Year: The looming debt ceiling...

Yield curve is the most inverted in decades, yet many parts of the market are making new 52-week highs....

The bull vs. bear battle wagered on this past trading week, as the bears attempted to wrestle back into...

Bear markets are like a Hall of Mirrors, designed to confuse investors and take their money. Trust YOUR fundamental...

January 13, 2023 by Doug Ramsey of Leuthold Group This year is off to a much stronger start than...

While we can’t be sure that the bear market ended on October 13, 2022, with the S&P 500 falling...

“Keep It Simple Stunad for 2023: Market will be well beyond your comfort-BUY level by the time your defined...

Market veterans know there’s just one thing more probable than a recession after the yield curve inverts: Yield curve...

Last year proved a painful time to be an investor, and for the most part, it didn’t matter what...

Introduction  The U.S. economy will struggle in 2023 with halting growth and higher unemployment. Recession is a serious threat....

When you believe in a future that is so alive in your mind that you keep living it over...

Despite all the uncertainty across today’s global capital markets, we are poised to enter 2023 with a more constructive...

by Barry Napp   Our 2022 outlook note was titled Inflation Politics & Policy and began with a section titled “liquidity...

The 2022 bear market will be remembered as a year when collapsing growth stock valuations and rising interest rates...

 What does “back to the new future” mean?  The era of quantitative easing and a quick trigger Fed easing...