Archive for category: Daily Articles

Research Report Excerpt #1 That’s right. This past trading week was strong, but it wasn’t “uber” strong, as the...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Over my career, I have experienced 7 market shocks, including the bursting of the technology...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Early July started well once again, but now the market has hit the typical consolidation...

Research Report Excerpt #1 From May 20th to May 27th, the market rallied greater than 6%. One step forward,...

Research Report Excerpt #1 The Bank of America Bull & Bear Indicator is currently at 0. This is probably...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Recall that prior to May’s, 6%+ month-end rally, the S&P 500 was down 7 consecutive weeks....

Research Report Excerpt #1 Like any rally, we want to understand the beginnings of the rally. Did the downtrend...

Research Report Excerpt #1 We often hear that if you bought the peak in 2000 or peak in 2007...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Keeping in mind that Sell-in-May-and-Go-Away doesn’t pertain solely to the month of May, but rather...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Q2-Q3 are the weakest 2 quarters of the 4-year cycle (shown above), averaging losses of...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Taking a step back for a moment, recognizing the landscape for 2022 doesn’t inspire a...

Research Report Excerpt #1 This is not a sell-everything and run for cover moment. It’s mechanical, and if history...

Single-family house prices have been rising at record rates, raising the question of whether they have become disconnected with...

Research Report Excerpt #1 “How does Jim Cramer of CNBC do so well then?” The short answer to the...

Research Report Excerpt #1 A perfect depiction of setup years is recognizable in the table below, which we’ve offered...

Research Report Excerpt #1 It may prove counterintuitive to many market participants, but the higher the VIX moves, the...

In the short-run, it’s difficult to see an easy way out of the current geopolitical nightmare. The hopelessness of...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Lastly, we hear a lot of chatter surrounding China and the potential for the CCP...

Research Report Excerpt #1 Heading into 2022, we understood that the historic potential S&P 500 returns surrounding midterm cycles...

Research Report Excerpt #1 As detailed since late last year, this is the S&P 500’s fourth longest run without...

Research Report Excerpt #1 The data remains our guidepost (S&P 500 forward returns after falling below 200-DMA above table),...

Research Report Excerpt #1 In order for drawdowns to not become realized losses, sometimes we also have to elongate...

Fed Funds Rate History The charts below show the targeted fed funds rate changes since 1971. The Federal Open Market...

Research Report Excerpt #1 It’s important to respect seasonal patterns/data, but the seasonal data is often best utilized when...