A “soft landing” for the economy in the US seems increasingly possible, so we look back at previous similar episodes to get an idea of what might be ahead for equities there. Despite the Fed’s aggressive tightening cycle over the past year and a half, it looks increasingly likely that the US economy will avoid recession, and therefore that the Fed…
Capital Economics: Soft landings, immaculate disinflation, and US equities
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Riding the Wave into the Holidays
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The US equity market continues to ride the wave of liquidity and seasonal FOMO. As we approach our bull...
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J.P. Morgan Guide To Markets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
1. The economy is holding up better than expected, but recession risk remains. In the third quarter, easing inflation...
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Artisan Parnters: Investing in Health Care: Beyond the Buzzwords
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Some of the 21st century’s biggest breakthroughs are happening in health care, transforming the way we diagnose, treat and...
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Yardeni Research: Beryling Toward Rate Cuts
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Some macroeconomic storm clouds are brewing. Markets are fleeing for shelter in Treasuries, leaving behind almost everything else, including...
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Fundstrat: S&P 500 into 2H
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
S&P 500 and QQQ both showed minor weakness late this week, yet failed to do much technical damage. Both...
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Morgan Stanley: Great Expectations on Earnings and Inflation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Our discussions with clients are narrowing to two primary topics: Earnings and Inflation. On the former, we hear many...
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Leuthold Group: Marg-Flation, 2023
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The 2022 bear market will be remembered as a year when collapsing growth stock valuations and rising interest rates...
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Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: This Is Not QE; Focus on the Fundamentals
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the back-stopping of bank deposits by the Fed/FDIC, many equity investors are asking if this is another form...
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