A “soft landing” for the economy in the US seems increasingly possible, so we look back at previous similar episodes to get an idea of what might be ahead for equities there. Despite the Fed’s aggressive tightening cycle over the past year and a half, it looks increasingly likely that the US economy will avoid recession, and therefore that the Fed…
Capital Economics: Soft landings, immaculate disinflation, and US equities
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Morgan Stanley: FOMC Preview: December Meeting
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
By Ellen Zetner chief U.S. ecoomist: We expect the Fed to hold the policy rate at 5.375% and to...
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Morgan Stanley: It’s Not A Bubble, It’s Not
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Correction has arrived, positioning and leverage should do the rest. A combination of peaking rate of change in M1/M2and...
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S&P 500 Closes Above 2800 With Earnings Season Kicking Into High Gear
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Last week, the Q2 2018 reporting cycle kicked-off with some of the big banks reporting quarterly results. JP Morgan...
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Markets Will Remain Choppy, But Glide Path Got a Bit Smoother
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
That was a pretty bullish end to an otherwise fear littered week that centered on two major points of...
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UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
With only a week of trading under our belts in 2017, maintaining a core short position in ProShares Ultra...
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Deep Dives Demand Devotion and Endurance
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 4
Just one week ago, the S&P 500 finished higher for the week by 4.9%, which seems a lifetime ago...
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Merrill Lynch: 2023 Year Ahead: Back To The New Future
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
What does “back to the new future” mean? The era of quantitative easing and a quick trigger Fed easing...
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The 2022 Market Challenge
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While certain individual stocks demonstrated massive downside moves this past week, the indices managed a consecutive weekly gain. In...
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