The Fed’s June announcement of a pause with further rate hikes to come has extended the uncertainty of whether an inverted curve and persistent policy tightening will ultimately lead to a recession. The business cycle is a critical investment issue because the relative returns of many assets depend on the state of the macro economy. This study examines the Consumer…
With only a week of trading under our belts in 2017, maintaining a core short position in ProShares Ultra...
Capital Economics We have revised some of our key market forecasts in response to Donald Trump’s victory and the news...
As we construct this weekend’s macro-market Research Report, the February Personal Income & Expenditures (PCE) data has been released....
Key talking points Bank of America aggregated credit and debit card spending was up 11% year-over-year (YoY) in June....
The worse a situation becomes, the less it takes to turn it around, and the greater the upside. ~George...
Now that’s how you bounce back from a sharp decline in the previous week. And why did markets bounce...
Weekly Warm Up: Big Drop Signals Changing Dynamics Last week’s decline was technical in nature but fundamentally triggered. We...
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