A new COVID variant started the ruckus for markets, but we view that as secondary to the real culprit—the...
Author Archive for: Seth Golden
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
Research Report Excerpt #1 Nonetheless, some variables provide greater force and as such are characterized as force factors. I’m of the opinion, the force...
Who needs a reset? Is it the S&P 500 (SPX), the forward price/earnings (P/E) multiple, the Nasdaq (COMPQ), the...
Weekly State of the Market: Seasonal Misstep, But Data Guides The Way
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0Spend 2 seconds on FinTwit and you’ll see why equities fell 5% in Sept, rose 10% in Oct and...
Macro Strategy—Businesses have responded to unprecedented U.S. consumer-demand strength and rising capacity utilization rates by bringing real equipment investment...
This week, we provide feedback to our 2022 Outlook—spoiler alert—there wasn’t as much as usual. Meanwhile, consumers are opening...
Research Report Excerpt #1 Given that in the lead up to “Volmageddon” in 2018 we got up to 9 days of...
Since the S&P 500’s 8-day win streak ended on November 8th, I think we can say that the market...
“Nobody can catch all the fluctuations. In a bull market your game is to buy and hold until you...
With financial conditions tightening and earnings growth slowing, the 12-month risk/reward for the broad indices looks unattractive at current...
Research Report Excerpt #1 Since 1928, a great many things have changed in our lives, in the economy, and...
We’re back! It has been a couple of weeks since our last weekly Research Report, but we hope some...
Market participants can access data points; access is NOT the struggle. The struggle is in the SEQUENCING of data...
The market was hunting for a reason to alleviate the overheated and overextended conditions. Recall just how overheated the...
Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Riding the Wave into the Holidays
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0The US equity market continues to ride the wave of liquidity and seasonal FOMO. As we approach our bull...
With just 2 months remaining in the 2021 trading year, investors are gearing up for the typical seasonal tailwinds,...
“The speculator fights his own good sense, struggles against his own will … and is at odds with his...
Growth Continues to Slow but It May Take Longer for Markets to Price It
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0Growth is slowing for both the economy and earnings and is unlikely to bottom until 1H2022. Meanwhile, earnings revisions...
Research Report Excerpt #1 Putting some more context to this past Friday’s price action, with a minor loss in...
Welcome back traders and investors. New highs, new highs and not quite new highs. What am I referring to?...
“One-half of life is luck; the other half is discipline — and that’s the important half, for without discipline...
Research Report Excerpt #1 Over the last twenty-one years, the full month of October has been a solid month...
Markets rallied again this past week, but finished on a high note unlike the previous week’s rally. The S&P...
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