With defensive stocks now expensive and offering little absolute upside, the S&P500 appears ready to join the ongoing bear...
Research Report Excerpt #1 Taking a step back for a moment, recognizing the landscape for 2022 doesn’t inspire a...
A midterm election cycle and year 2 of a Presidential cycle with rising rates and potentially peak inflation have...
The best hedges are cash and time, which work in tandem! The answer to fear of downside risk is...
A lot has been going on in markets – aggressive Fed talk scaring investors, runaway commodity prices, war in...
No Clear Path to Easier Financial Conditions Financial conditions are a key transmission mechanism for monetary policy and geopolitical...
Our goal as a trader is to push aside FOMO. Create a bubble for yourself, shut out the noise!...
When stocks and bonds send mixed signals, we listen to stocks more attentively. The underlying message is clear: Stay...
Research Report Excerpt #1 This is not a sell-everything and run for cover moment. It’s mechanical, and if history...
A 3-week winning streak for equities came to an end for the S&P 500 (SPX) this past week. April...
“I recommend the S&P 500 index fund and have for a long, long time to people,” billionaire investor Warren...
Single-family house prices have been rising at record rates, raising the question of whether they have become disconnected with...
Cross-asset Strategy: While the geopolitical crisis and policy tightening are overhangs, risk assets have a number of supports that...
Research Report Excerpt #1 “How does Jim Cramer of CNBC do so well then?” The short answer to the...
The equity markets are on a 3-week winning streak, which is hard to accept given the quarter still ended...
WAR is stressing global supply chains, inflation rises yet the S&P 500 went RISK-ON over the last two weeks!...
With the Fed’s hawkish pivot, the first part half of our long standing narrative of Fire and Ice has...
Research Report Excerpt #1 A perfect depiction of setup years is recognizable in the table below, which we’ve offered...
Midterm election years are difficult trading years, but reliably strong investing years, as they setup the compounding effect. More...
“The market indexes may have bottomed, but keep in mind, making a low, forming a bottom and reaching the...
Macro Strategy—No Respite For The Weary: After two years of a pandemic, the world now has to deal with...
Every time the market falls a little, we worry it’s going to fall a lot. ~Michael Batnick When it...
Cross-Asset Strategy: As geopolitical risks intensified over the past month, our OWs in Commodities and Energy stocks outperformed, while...
“Bear markets do not end until: 1) sellers have panicked; and 2) buyers are panicked to buy again.” ~The...
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