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Seth Golden posted an update 2 years ago
The “average” returns following all nine previous inversions (the far right-side bars on the chart) were surprisingly positive in both “year 1” and “year 2” (i.e., +6% and +13.9%, respectively). That is, overall, while yield-curve inversions have customarily unleashed havoc on the economy, job creation, and even profits, they are not nearly as bad for the stock market as commonly advertised.
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