Are private sector balance sheets, income & profits, liquidity, and pessimism simply too strong to have a recession? By Jim Paulsen Recession risk is weighed in several ways. Are the resources available to the economy – land, labor, and capital — becoming scarce? Are pent-up demands nearing saturation? How many years old is the recovery? Are its primary players –…
A Lurking Recession Needs Vulnerabilities
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J.P. Morgan Team Offers Completed 2021 Analysis
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Equities are facing one of the best backdrops for sustained gains next year. After a prolonged period of elevated...
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J.P. Morgan View: CPI release is a positive, but recession risks remain high!
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: The October US CPI release delivered the largest downward inflation surprise since the start of the pandemic,...
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Macy’s May Be Acquired, But It Begs For Greater Logic
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A rumor has recently surfaced regarding the possibility, not the probability, but the possibility of Macy’s (M) selling itself....
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S&P 500 Met With Headwinds and Tailwinds This Week: Which Way?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This past week was yet another turbulent week for the major averages, but they managed there best week in...
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Weekly State of the Market: Bulls In Charge
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Whether we’re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down. ~Warren Buffett...
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A Football Metaphor for Markets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
by Jim Paulsen, The Tush Push has become a popular play among both NFL and college football teams. ...
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The Leuthold Group: Inflation: Bank Run Edition
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The non-seasonally adjusted headline CPI eased for an eighth consecutive month to 6.0% in February (Chart 1). The seasonally...
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Morgan Stanley: Great Expectations on Earnings and Inflation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Our discussions with clients are narrowing to two primary topics: Earnings and Inflation. On the former, we hear many...
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