In lieu of our regularly scheduled State of the Market video analysis, this week we offer a general public video to review some of the market conditions and macro developments since August. Oversold conditions and a traditionally weak September market offered certain signals for investors to consider, while the economy continued to “chug along.” (video link) The S&P 500 was…
An Uncertain Summer Ends, But Does A Favorable Fall Begin?
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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DataTrek: Labor Market Cooling, But Still Goodd
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Markets: Job openings fell in September according to the latest JOLTS report out today, while our “Take this job...
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Warnings on Selling Volatility Ahead of Seasonality Factors
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In an investing world that is filled with various investment vehicles, strategies and practices, risk vs. reward usually plays...
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Risk Asset Prices Rerated for Growth: Has the Global Economy Found It’s Low Period?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
There are two more trading weeks remaining in the Q1 2019 period. The S&P 500 (SPX) is up some...
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The Leuthold Group: Putting The “Sahm Rule” To The Test
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In January, the “inventor” of the yield-curve indicator—Campbell Harvey of Duke University—suggested that the inversion of the 10Y/3M spread...
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Merrill Lynch: Expansion Cycle & Earnings Growth Will Continue
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Macro Strategy—Expansion and Profits Growth to Continue in 2022: Current Federal Reserve (Fed) projections and the leads and lags...
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Merrill Lynch: Capital Market Outlook (CMO)
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Macro Strategy—Time to End Quantitative Tightening Fast Approaching: Quantitative tightening (QT) has reached its limits in the regional banking...
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Contango Spreads Across ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY)
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As the world begins to digest the future state of the Union or the United States of America under...
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Weekly State of the Market: Disinflation Intrenched
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Long-term trends and short-term emotions are both powerful. Former can build wealth, latter can sabotage that effort. ~Brian G...
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