Let’s begin with a mea culpa. In my note of 18 May 2023, I wrote that the risk/reward for equities versus bonds was in favor of the latter. Since then, US equities are up 8%. US long-end government bonds are down 8%. There used to be a word for that. Ah yes. Wrong! ‘The horse is dead, man’, I hear you…
Man Institute: If history is any guide, at this juncture bonds may be a more attractive proposition than equities, at least in the short term.
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BofAML Quarterly Market & Economic Review/Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Capital Market Outlook September 6, 2019 IN THIS ISSUE: • Macro Strategy—Central-bank easing and fiscal stimulus in a growing...
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The Geopolitical May Usurp Market Trends
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The fears of profound losses to the equity markets in the event that tariffs have been increased were overblown…...
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Weekly Warm-up: Winter Is Coming but Arrival Is Unclear
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With the Fire portion of our Fire and Ice thesis playing out, we await the timing and magnitude of...
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Schwab: Cycles and Sector Performances
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By David Kastner: Sector rotation is perhaps one of the best known and widely implemented investment strategies within equity portfolios....
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As H2 2021 Begins, There’s A Lot For The S&P 500 To Digest
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From the pandemic lows on March 23, 2020, the S&P 500 is now up more than 96% and nearly...
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Weekly State of the Market: Price Fading Further Gives Rise To Recessionary Fears
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Behavioral Finance tells us that you can broadly think of your happiness as just “Reality minus Expectations”. H =...
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The Leuthold Group Green Book June 2023
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Echoes Of 2021 Like us, we suspect most of our research clients have at least one or two non-professional...
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Merrill Lynch Capital Market Outlook July 2024
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Macro Strategy—Soft Landing in Progress?: U.S. economic growth remains sturdy, and favorable recent inflation dynamics give the Federal Reserve...
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