Hotter but shorter cycles persist — we continue to forecast an earnings recession this year that we don’t think is priced, followed by a sharp EPS rebound in 2024/2025. We recommend investors focus on stocks with defensive characteristics, operational efficiency, and earnings stability. Cyclical Bear within a Secular Bull… We still expect a meaningful earnings recession this year (-16%Y decline)…
US Equities Mid-Year Outlook: Cyclical Bear within a Secular Bull
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Recovering, Not Yet Recovered
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Welcome back ladies and gentlemen! This weekend’s Research Report will be abbreviated, as we maintain our outlook for 2024,...
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Did You Notice The Flight To Safety Last Week?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 3
Divergence! A one-word sentence used appropriately to describe last week’s trading action where the Dow was significantly lower than...
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Morgan Stanley: Great Expectations on Earnings and Inflation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Our discussions with clients are narrowing to two primary topics: Earnings and Inflation. On the former, we hear many...
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Weekly State of the Market: The Fed Outlier
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The worse a situation becomes, the less it takes to turn it around, and the greater the upside. ~George...
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Markets Often Bottom On A Whimper, Not A Bang
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Posted on January 3, 2019 by Andrew Thrasher, CMT There’s a saying that market tops are a process and...
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J.P. Morgan’s Marko Kolanovic: Near-term equity rally? One can buy Growth and Value
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A lot has been going on in markets – aggressive Fed talk scaring investors, runaway commodity prices, war in...
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Quarterly Update For Golden Capital Portfolio: Tesla Remains In Focus After Quick Profits
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Golden Capital Portfolio continues to outperform the benchmark S&P 500 Return On Invested Capital year-to-date. In my most recent...
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Geopolitical Risks Abate At Year-End: Sideways, Higher or Lower From Here?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The trading week that was ended in a manner that many may have not anticipated. As we read this...
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