Stepping back from the January noise, the trends in core economic activity data are discouraging. It’s unrealistic to think that the full hit from the Fed’s actions have already worked through the economy. Existing home sales have hit bottom and likely will rise a bit in Q1, but prices have a long way to fall. Don’t Fall for Claims that…
Pantheon Macro: U.S. Economic Monitor
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Merrill Lynch CIO Market Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good Sunday and as a reminder, our weekly Research Report issuance will begin again on December 9, 2019. This...
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New York Times Takes Aim At The Volatility Trade And Trading Crowd
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Through no fault of my own I’ve recently found myself at the heart of the mainstream, short- volatility (VOL),...
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How Are We Looking… Going Into Year-end?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
S&P 500’s annual return after a NEGATIVE RETURN year. Average return the next year = 18%. Remember, however, the...
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Weekly State of the Market: It Ain’t Perfect, But It Ain’t A Recession
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The big money is made in waiting and simplicity. Not in overactivity and complexity. ~Brian G of Alphacharts You...
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Weekly State of the Market: Houston, We Have Tailwinds
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“The speculator fights his own good sense, struggles against his own will … and is at odds with his...
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Is There a Bull Case? PMIs and Earnings Revisions Remain Our Focus
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Due to a scheduling conflict, there will not be a weekly SOTM this week. We anticipate being back...
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Weekly State of the Market: Macro Still Strong, Market Still Weak
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The best hedges are cash and time, which work in tandem! The answer to fear of downside risk is...
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