1H22 was challenging for most risk assets as the Fed pivoted more sharply than most expected. The de-rating for US stocks was punctuated by a brief growth scare in June, although valuations never reflected the true risk to earnings, in our view. Today, we quantify that risk and cut EPS forecasts. Fire and Ice Part 2…Fire and Ice has proven…
Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Fire and Ice Part 2 Is More About the Ice; Cutting Our EPS Forecasts Further
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Weekly State of the Market: Seasonal Misstep, But Data Guides The Way
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Spend 2 seconds on FinTwit and you’ll see why equities fell 5% in Sept, rose 10% in Oct and...
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We were expecting a rather large move for the S&P 500 (SPX) last week and we sort of got...
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J.P. Morgan: Stocks and Bonds Rise Together
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Many believe that bond yields will not be able to move up much, partly as there is no sustained...
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Weekly State of The Market: With Tapering, New Highs Hard to Achieve
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Thank you for joining us on this journey through the markets in 2021. To review the latest State of...
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J.P. Morgan Says Buybacks to Remain Strong Amidst Uncertainty
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
U.S. Equity Strategy: Buybacks to Remain Strong Amidst Uncertainty Buybacks have been a key theme through this cycle with...
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Fundstrat 2022 Outlook: Stocks + Treachery = Challenging but +11%
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
7 GENERAL PRINCIPLES: What is evidence-based research 1. Nothing new under the sun: Importance of looking at cycles 2....
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The Bears Beating Recession Drums as Q2 2018 Earnings Season Kicks Off
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In this week’s research report we are going to cover a few topics. The first topic centers on the...
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Merrill Lynch: Monetary Tightening Full Speed Ahead
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Macro Strategy—Powell On A Mission: U.S. policymakers responded to the pandemic shutdowns with the most aggressive fiscal and monetary...
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