Behavioral Finance tells us that you can broadly think of your happiness as just “Reality minus Expectations”. H = R-E; or said another way, are things going better for me than I thought or worse? If you aren’t expecting these selloffs to happen you get upset, reality smacks you in the face and your happiness plummets. If you are expecting them,…
Weekly State of the Market: Price Fading Further Gives Rise To Recessionary Fears
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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March Retail Sales May Signal Further Economic Slowing
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
It was another ugly retail sales report for the month of March and with February’s retail sales being revised...
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Assessing and Addressing The Market Season
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We’re back! It has been a couple of weeks since our last weekly Research Report, but we hope some...
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Investors Bet on More Pain for Retailers
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
ByMichael WursthornDec. 1, 2019 5:30 am ET The bears are circling retailers ahead of the holiday season. Short sellers...
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The Beginning of the End of Easy Money is Starting to Look Overpriced
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-asset strategy: Higher rates was one of late 2020’s most-consensus views, but higher rate volatility was not. Hence,...
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Volatility Term Inversion & Modeling Future Volatility Deemed Difficult
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In light of declining volatility – the VIX index and its term structure started to normalize Wednesday – where...
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Weekly State of the Market: Busting Myths With Discipline
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Remember that valuation is only expensive relative to history, and irrespective of the future! If I might introduce you...
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Weekly State of the Market: Correction Continues, Future Forward Returns Improve
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Every time the market falls a little, we worry it’s going to fall a lot. ~Michael Batnick When it...
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Analysts Dissect All The Moving Parts
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Goldman Sachs chief political economist Alec Phillips Goldman Sachs now offers that it’s “base case” for the next fiscal...
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