Powell made it clear the Fed will do whatever is necessary to maintain price stability which means tighter financial conditions even as risks to growth increase from oil price spike and pre-existing headwinds we have been highlighting for months. Sell any relief rallies from oversold conditions. Valuations still at risk as rates fall. 10-year Treasury yields have fallen despite the…
Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Our Bear Case in play as Both Valuation and Earnings Risk Increase
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Man Institute: If history is any guide, at this juncture bonds may be a more attractive proposition than equities, at least in the short term.
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Let’s begin with a mea culpa. In my note of 18 May 2023, I wrote that the risk/reward for equities...
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Finding Market Bottoms
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In this week’s video special report we discuss the environment surrounding the February-March 2020 bear market; the fastest bear...
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A Lurking Recession Needs Vulnerabilities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Are private sector balance sheets, income & profits, liquidity, and pessimism simply too strong to have a recession? By...
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Weekly State of the Market: A Buyers Strike, But On The Other Side…
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Bears from 2009-2021: “A crash is coming!” Bears in 2022: “I told you so!” ~Douglas Boneparth NOBODY...
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The Leuthold Group’s New January Barometer
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Based solely on calendar patterns, January’s S&P 500 gain is a mild positive for stocks over the remaining months...
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Fire or Ice?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the S&P 500 up more than 20% YTD, alpha has been harder to generate this year. Having the...
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Lows Are “Possibly” In…
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
There is still considerable debate about whether the bear market has yet set its low. Certainly, if the U.S....
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Weekly State of the Market: Markets Are Always Yielding
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“The S&P 500 has not bottomed in the months of January – May when it has finished the year...
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