Merrill Lynch: Macro Risk Macro Strategy—Risky Business (Cycle): We believe the probability of a recession this year is low and remain overweight Equities for now, but business cycle risk is rising for a number of reasons. Inflation is one of the biggest risks, as it could drive the Federal Reserve (Fed) to induce a recession. Nonfinancial profit margins are already…
Merrill Lynch & Charles Schwab: Macro Risks Afoot
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State of the Markets: 9/6/2019
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. Our emphasis in this week’s SOTM...
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Investor Fears Of The Unknown
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
A midterm election cycle and year 2 of a Presidential cycle with rising rates and potentially peak inflation have...
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Weekly State of the Market: Consolidation That Breeds Opportunity
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review this week’s SOTM. In this week’s episode, we record live on...
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Ready… Or Not; Data-Driven Fed Holds The Cards
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Many investors have become quite frustrated by the stock markets’ performance relative to their own portfolio performance. 2024 is...
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Merrill Lynch Monthly Capital Market Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
IN THIS ISSUE • Macro Strategy—Alongside a sharp contraction in economic activity, the equity market has already seen a...
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History Doesn’t Always Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
If there is 1-thing I’ve learned from the markets over my 24 years, it’s that down is going to...
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Leuthold Group: The Job Market Just Rescinded A Recession Signal
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
For those disappointed that February’s employment report won’t be released until March 10th, we have something to consider in...
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Weekly State of the Market: Holding Historic Precedence
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In my conversations over the years with retail investors — many of whom are novices (not that there’s anything...
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